[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 8/4/2003 2:54:33 PM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 041952
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
250 PM CDT MON AUG 4 2003

SHORT TERM...
SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE NOT DVLPG LIKE LAST FEW DAYS ACRS THE FCST 
AREA.  THIS SHOULD HELP WITH THE LOW CLOUD AND FOG SITUATION 
TNGT...ESPECIALLY SINCE THE UPR LOW HAS ALSO MOVD GRADUALLY EAST.  
WILL NOT MENTION FOG IN THE ZONES TNGT AS VSBYS SHOULD STAY ABOVE 
1SM.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...
SHRTWV OVR MT CURRENTLY MOVG ACRS UPR RDG.  THIS IS CAUSING SHOWERS 
AND TSTMS TO DVLP ACRS NODAK.  MODELS HAVE THIS SYS SLOWLY DROPPING 
SOUTH ALG THE NW FLO ON TUESDAY WITH ANOTHER SHRTWV EXPECTED ON 
WEDNESDAY.  AS THESE TWO SHRTWVS MOV THRU A LOW POP IS NEEDED 
LATE TUESDAY AND AGAIN FOR MOST OF WEDNESDAY.  HEAT AND MSTR ARE 
LIMITED IN COMPARISON TO AUGUST STANDARDS SO SVR THREAT IS 
DOUBTFUL...ALTHOUGH FREEZING LEVEL IS RELATIVELY LOW SO ISOLD LARGE 
HAIL CANNOT BE RULED OUT.    

DAY 3 THRU 7
LONGWAVE UPR RDG IS ANCHORED ACRS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.  THIS 
TELECONNECTS WELL WITH A TROF OVR THE EASTERN US.  AS A RESULT 
LITTLE PATTERN CHANGE IS EXPECTED WITH THE UPR LOW EXPECTED TO 
PERSIST ACRS THE OH VLY THRU THE PERIOD.  WE SHOULD REMAIN FAR 
ENOUGH FROM THE UPR LOW TO BE DRY THRU THE PERIOD.  ALSO WITH UPR 
LOW ACRS OH VLY...TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO REMAIN AT OR SLGTLY BLO 
SEASONAL AVERAGES.       

.DVN...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

$$

 BELLES