[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 8/2/2003 1:59:58 PM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 021857
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
155 PM CDT SAT AUG 2 2003

FIRST PERIOD...
SPINNING UPR LOW ACRS WRN GRTLKS HELPING TO PRODUCE POPCORN SHWRS 
ACRS NRN PORTION OF FCST AREA THIS AFTN.  LOW FREEZING LEVEL 
SUGGESTS SOME SMALL HAIL IS LIKELY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON PHASE 
OF THESE STORMS. ACTIVITY EARLIER ACRS SRN PORTION OF THE CWA HAS 
MOVD SOUTH ALG WK SFC BNDRY.  BEST PRES FALLS INDICATE A CONTINUED 
SOUTHWARD PROGRESSION OF THE SFC BNDRY.  

THRU MONDAY NIGHT...
UPR LOW IS DOMINATE FEATURE THRU THIS FCST PERIOD.  WILL CONTINUE 
WITH LATE AFTN AND EARLY EVENING SHWRS/TSTMS THRU MONDAY.  BELIEVE 
CLOUDS AND SHWRS MAY DVLP A BIT EARLIER ON SUNDAY AS UPR LOW CLOSER 
TO OUR FCST AREA.  CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE LOWER SO HAVE LOWERED MAX 
TEMPS THRU MONDAY.      

TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
MODELS HOLD NW FLOW OVER MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WITH H5 LOW LIFTING 
SLOWLY TO THE NE AND WESTERN U.S. RIDGE ONLY MAKING IT AS FAR EAST 
AS THE CENTRAL/NRN PLAINS. GFS SUGGESTS SOME LIGHT PCPN CONTINUING 
TO BREAK OUT OVER EASTERN CWA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY 
AFTERNOONS...HOWEVER WITH COOL POOL PULLING AWAY WITH UPPER LOW AND 
DEEP NORTHERLY FLOW OVER AREA...SEE LITTLE SUPPORT FOR INCLUDING IN 
EXTENDED.  TEMPS WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH 
THURSDAY...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN TEMPS INTO THE WEEKEND. 

.DVN...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

$$
 BELLES/FERRY