[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 9/6/02 1:29:09 AM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 060635
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
134 AM CDT FRI SEP 6 2002

MODELS INDICATE STATUS QUO WITH RIDGE REMAINING IN PLACE FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. MCS OVER MINNESOTA/WISCONSIN TO REMAIN NORTH AND NOT
AFFECT THE CWFA AT ALL. NEW WILD CARD VARIABLE IS FAY OFF THE GULF
COAST...WHICH WILL COME INTO PLAY TOWARD THE END OF THE SHORT TERM AND
INTO THE LONGER TERM NEXT WEEK. ETA/AVN DO SHOW AN INFLUX OF MOISTURE
FROM FAY ARRIVING SATURDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL BRING MORE CLOUDS INTO THE
PICTURE. AVN HAS SPEEDED UP THE FRONT WITH IT NOW ARRIVING MONDAY
NIGHT. GIVEN SUCH A BIG CHANGE FROM EARLIER RUNS...WILL NOT CHANGE
EXTENDED ATTM BUT PASS ON CONCERNS TO DAY SHIFT.

FWC/MAV PRETTY SIMILAR THROUGH ALL PERIODS WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
MAX/MIN TEMPS...AS ONE WOULD EXPECT WITH PERSISTENCE. TRAJECTORY
METHOD ALSO GIVES NUMBERS CLOSE TO THE FWC/MAV AS WELL.

.DVN...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

86