[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 9/2/02 8:19:43 PM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 030124
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
824 PM CDT MON SEP 2 2002

00Z DVN SOUNDING SAYS IT ALL...CAPE 3536...CIN 56. MULTIPLE CAPPING
INVERSIONS PREVENTING ANY CONVECTION FROM STARTING. DVN 88D SHOWS A
FEW CELLS STARTING BUT DYING OUT AS FAST AS THEY START ACROSS THE
NORTHERN CWFA. SATELLITE TRENDS INDICATE ENHANCED CU/TCU ALONG THE
PRE-FRONTAL TROF WITH NO ACTIVITY ALONG THE COLD FRONT.

02/21Z RUC INDICATED BEST FORCING/FRONTOGENESIS STARTS FALLING APART
BETWEEN 00-03Z. 00Z RUC HAS YET TO ARRIVE. IF 03/00Z RUC CONTINUES TREND
OF 02/21Z RUC WILL EITHER PULL ALL POPS OR DROP THEM DOWN TO A SLIGHT
CHANCE. REGARDLESS...CID/DBQ ZONE GROUP AND IOW ZONE GROUP WILL BE DRY
AS PRE-FRONTAL TROF ALREADY THROUGH THERE WITH ACTUAL COLD FROPA
LAGGING BEHIND BY 2 HOURS AND IS HALFWAY THROUGH THOSE GROUPS.

.DVN...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

86