[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 10/25/02 2:27:47 AM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 250736
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
236 AM CDT FRI OCT 25 2002

INVERTED TROF/DEFORMATION ZONE BRINGING SOME MORE MUCH NEED RAIN TO THE
AREA. MODELS SLOWLY MOVE BETTER LIFT/INVERTED TROF ACROSS THE CWFA
DURING THE DAY WITH LIFT DIMINISHING GREATLY DURING THE AFTERNOON.
THIS SHOULD ALLOW PRECIP TO TAPER TO DZ/RW-- IN THE AFTERNOON AND
ENDING BY VERY EARLY IN THE EVENING. CLEARING TO MOVE IN AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT WITH MOST OF CWFA NEARLY CLEAR BY SUNRISE SATURDAY. QUIET
CONDITIONS SATURDAY/SATURDAY NIGHT AS NEXT SYSTEM ORGANIZES IN THE
ROCKIES. CLOUDS TO SPREAD IN BEFORE SUNRISE SUNDAY WITH ESSENTIALLY
DRY CONDITIONS SUNDAY. POSSIBLE THAT SOME R- MAY MOVE IN VERY LATE
SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH SOME LIFT AND LOWERING CONDENSATION PRESSURE
DEFICITS. HOWEVER FORECAST SOUNDINGS DON/T LOOK PROMISING.

SYSTEM MOVES IN SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY AM. ATTM LOOKS TO BE SIMILAR TO
SYSTEM THAT AFFECTED CWFA WED NIGHT/THUR MORNING. BEST CHANCES FOR ANY
SNOW TO BE ALONG HIGHWAY 20 CORRIDOR IN PREDAWN HOURS/FIRST HOURS
AFTER SUNRISE MONDAY.

DON/T EXPECT MUCH DIURNAL CHANGE IN TEMPS TODAY. PERIODS 2 THROUGH 4
GUIDANCE SIMILAR WITH MAV COOLER. WILL MAKE ADJUSTMENTS AS WARRANTED.

.DVN...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

86