[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 10/11/02 2:37:38 PM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 111944
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
244 PM CDT FRI OCT 11 2002

MODELS AMAZINGLY IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT ON MOVEMENT OF FRONT THROUGH
CWFA TONIGHT/SATURDAY. CURRENT TRENDS AGREE WITH MODEL FORCING IN THAT
PRECIP TO BE POST FRONTAL AND LAST 3 HOURS AT BEST. BIGGER MESSAGE IS
STRONG CAA ONCE FROPA OCCURS ON STRONG WINDS. FALLING TEMPERATURES LATE
MORNING/AFTERNOON TO OCCUR. HEADLINES FOR FREEZE/FROST LIKELY NEEDED
FOR SATURDAY NIGHT WITH FREEZE HEADLINES SUNDAY NIGHT. ATTM WILL NOT
GO WITH HEADLINES DUE TO IT BEING PERIODS 3 AND 5. WILL PASS THIS ON TO
NIGHT SHIFT. SUNDAY/MONDAY TO BE QUIET AS NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST AND AFFECTS THE AREA ON TUESDAY. LIKELY NOT AS MUCH MOISTURE
WITH THIS SYSTEM BUT SHOULD SEE SOME PRECIP.

FURTHER IN EXTENDED WEDNESDAY TO BE DRY WITH PLAINS SYSTEM ORGANIZING
AND AFFECTING AREA THURSDAY/FRIDAY. TEMPERATURE PROFILES SUGGEST
POTENTIAL FOR THE S WORD ACROSS THE NORTH. HOWEVER WILL NOT MENTION
FOR NOW DUE TO MODEL TENDENCY TO HAVE A COLD BIAS IN DAYS 6 AND 7.

.DVN...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

86