[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 7/25/02 9:20:32 PM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 260221
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
920 PM CDT THU JUL 25 2002

HAVE UPDATED PACKAGE TO REMOVE THIS EVENINGS THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.  
DESPITE VICINITY OF FRONT...LOW-MID 70S DEWPOINTS...NO THUNDERSTORMS 
HAVE FIRED IN IOWA.  850MB LLJ MAX SEEMS TO HAVE FOCUSED OVER 
NORTHERN KANSAS...WHERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FORMED IN THE MOISTURE 
CONVERGENCE JUST SOUTH OF THE FRONT.  THE COLD FRONT IS POSITIONED 
FROM NEAR KMCW TO NEAR KICL IN IOWA...THEN SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE KMCI 
METRO AREA....AND THEN WEST INTO KANSAS.  WITH THIS 
CONFIGURATION...DO NOT EXPECT ANY NEW DEVELOPMENT IN IA...AND WITH 
THE WAY THE THICKNESS CONTOURS LAY...DO NOT EXPECT ANY OF THE KANSAS 
DEVELOPMENT TO MAKE IT INTO CWA.  NEXT THREAT MAY BE THE CONVECTION 
ONGOING IN NRN MN.  HOWEVER...UNLESS THIS DEVELOPS SOUTH IT SHOULD 
SKIM NORTH OF THE CWA AROUND 12Z OR LATER.  MID LEVEL CLOUDS SEEM TO 
BE QUITE PERSISTENT THIS EVENING...THOUGH MAY DISSIPATE A LITTLE 
BETTER AS CIRRUS MOVES OVER CWA.  BETWEEN THIS MID LEVEL DECK AND 
CIRRUS...PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SEEMS BEST CHOICE.  HAVE TWEAKED 
WINDS A LITTLE FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS.  

.DVN...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

LRE