[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 12/1/02 9:13:44 PM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 020326
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
925 PM CST SUN DEC 1 2002

COLD FRONT DRAPED ALONG IA/MN BORDER INTO SOUTHERN WI NOT MOVING MUCH WITH
SURFACE WAVE OVER SD WITH PRESSURE FALL BULLSEYE 
OVER SOUTHEAST SD AND NORTHEAST NE SUGGESTING SOUTHEAST TRANSLATION WHICH
VERIFIES MODEL SOLUTIONS. CANADIAN HIGH TO BUILD SOUTH INTO
UPPER MIDWEST OVERNIGHT WILL GIVE FRONTAL ZONE PUSH TO THE SOUTH AND EXPECT
IT TO LIE FAIRLY CLOSE TO I-80 CORRIDOR BY 12Z. TEMPS POST FRONTAL
IN THE M/U 20S IN WI...THIS COUPLED WITH CLOUDS WILL NUDGE TEMPS UP A BIT EVEN
CENTRAL AND SOUTH WHERE LLVL SOUTHWEST WINDS TO HOLD ALTHOUGH SHOULD
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE JUST AHEAD OF FRONTAL ZONE WHICH 
SHOULD ALLOW FOR DROPOFF...SO WON/T RAISE BUT MORE THAN CAT OR SO. 
NEXT CONCERN IS WITH PCPN CHCS LATE TONIGHT AND MON. 00Z FWC AND MET GUIDANCE
COMING IN QUITE DRY WITH POPS GENERALLY AOB 10% THROUGH NEXT 48 HRS.
MOISTURE LIMITED BUT STILL FEEL WITH ENOUGH FORCING WITH AID OF RIGHT REAR QUAD
OF UPPER JET TO MOISTEN THINGS BELIEVE WE WILL SEE 
PERIOD OF POST FRONTAL --SN/-SN WITH TRANSITION TO POLAR AIRMASS. ACCUMS
NOT LOOKING LIKE MUCH IF ANYTHING EXCEPT POSSIBLY IN NORTHEAST IA AND NORTHWEST
IL CLOSER TO BETTER LIFT WHERE MAYBE AN INCH OR POSSIBLY TWO. 
WILL PASS ON CONCERNS TO MID CREW. 

.DVN...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

MCCLURE