[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 8/31/02 2:46:20 PM

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Sat, 31 Aug 2002 14:46:20 -0500


The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 311950
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
245 PM CDT SAT AUG 31 2002
 
SLOW CHANGING PATTERN WILL YIELD A SLOW CHANGING FORECAST.  RIDGE 
HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY SOUTHEAST WITH A DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE OVER THE 
REGION.  WITH CONVECTIVE TEMPS SUNDAY IN THE MID 80S...COULD SEE 
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS.  HAVE BACKED OFF ON PRECIP CHANCES FOR 
SUNDAY NIGHT SINCE FORCING IS WEAK AND MOISTURE WILL BE VERY 
LIMITED.  MODELS THIS RUN ARE CONSISTENT BRINGING THE FRONT INTO THE 
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY MONDAY NIGHT.  CURRENT FORECAST HAS THIS IN 
HAND...WITH BEST PRECIP CHANCES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. WILL HAVE 
TO WATCH FOR CONTINUED TREND IN SLOWING THE FRONT DOWN THE NEXT FEW 
RUNS.

SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THROUGH MID WEEK.  MRF KEYS ON ANOTHER FRONT 
AROUND SATURDAY.  UKMET IS SLOWER...AND WILL HOLD OFF ON INTRODUCING 
PRECIP ON DAY 7 FOR NOW.

.DVN...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

33