[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 8/4/02 11:17:30 AM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 041619
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1120 AM CDT SUN AUG 4 2002

15Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS OUTFLOW FROM MCS EXTENDING JUST SOUTH OF KOTM-KSQI LINE.
LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED NEAR MCCOOK NE WITH FRONTAL ZONE 
EXTENDING THROUGH SOUTHERN MN INTO CENTRAL WI. 12Z KDVN SOUNDING TROPICAL
WITH PW/S OF NEARLY 2 INCHES. INITIAL CONCERN IS TEMPS. DEBRIS
CLOUDS BLANKETING MUCH OF CWA ATTIM AND SATELLITE SUGGESTS THIS TREND WILL
CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON WITH SOME THINNING OR HOLES
DEVELOPING. SO NOT A GREAT DEAL OF SUNSHINE ANTICIPATED...THUS PLAN TO 
SCALE BACK TEMPS JUST A TAD. NEXT CONCERN IS CONVECTIVE TRENDS.
THINGS HAVE QUIETED FOR THE TIME BEING. HOWEVER...UPPER DIVERGENCE AND
H5 SHORTWAVE OVER NORTH CENTRAL IA WILL KEEP THREAT OF SHRA/TSRA ACROSS THE
NORTHERN ZONES THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SECONDARY FOCUS POSSIBLE
ALONG OUTFLOW IN SOUTHERN ZONES. RECEIVED SPOTTER REPORT OF 2.05 INCHES
OF RAIN IN STANLEY IN EXTREME NORTHERN BUCHANAN COUNTY. WITH
SUCH MOIST ENVIRONMENT...HEAVY RAIN WILL BE MAIN THREAT FROM ANY CONVECTION.

.DVN...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

05