[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 8/3/02 11:56:15 AM

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Sat, 03 Aug 2002 11:56:16 -0500


The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 031657
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1150 AM CDT SAT AUG 3 2002

WARM ADVECTION/ISENTROPIC LIFT GENERATING BAND OF SC ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
ZONES. 15Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDING
FROM NEAR LINCOLN NE...TO ST. LOUIS MO...TO NEAR SPRINGFIELD IL.
LLVL E/SE FLOW IS ADVECTING IN SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR (DEWPTS L/M 60S) BUT
FLOW PROGGED TO VEER TO MORE SOUTHERLY COMPONENT...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTH
BRINGING RETURN OF HUMIDITY WITH DEWPTS CLIMBING BACK INTO THE
L/M 70S. ELSEWHERE...SHOULD BE FAIRLY COMFORTABLE...ALBEIT VERY WARM. 
TEMPS ON TRACK FOR MOST PART...THOUGH PLAN TO BREAK OUT BURLINGTON 
GROUP AND LOWER A NOTCH DUE TO CLOUD COVER. A LITTLE CONCERNED WE COULD
SEE ISOLATED LATE AFTERNOON CONVECTION IN FAR SOUTH. SOME 
FRONTAL CONVERGENCE APPARENT...BUT LACK OF COHERENT SYNOPTIC SCALE 
TRIGGER LEAVES ME TO KEEP DRY FCST...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.  

.DVN...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.


MCCLURE