[KYHAM] KYARES ALERT:Flood Watch for EKY/Spec Wx Statement for CKY

[Ron Dodson]

Be advised of the following Special Weather Statement.

Also, All ARES and RACES op's should be prepared to activate in a moments notice.  Have been in contact with state EOC and will be on a conference call with them tomorrow as we plan for the possibilities that Ivan's aftermath may bring.  

73 DE KA4MAP
Ky SEC

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH...CORRECTED TO CLARIFY TIMING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
408 PM EDT WED SEP 15 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

FLEMING...ROWAN...BATH...ELLIOTT...MONTGOMERY...MORGAN...MENIFEE...
JOHNSON...MARTIN...POWELL...MAGOFFIN...WOLFE...ESTILL...FLOYD...
PIKE...LEE...BREATHITT...JACKSON...OWSLEY...ROCKCASTLE...KNOTT...
PERRY...PULASKI...CLAY...LAUREL...LESLIE...LETCHER...KNOX...HARLAN...
WAYNE...WHITLEY...MCCREARY AND BELL...

THE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY MORNING UNTIL 
MIDNIGHT EDT SUNDAY MORNING...

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE
IVAN...HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE RIVER FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING 
ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY LATE THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY 
EVENING.  

HURRICANE IVAN IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT ALONG THE GULF
COAST...TRACK NORTH THROUGH ALABAMA TOMORROW AND INTO EASTERN
TENNESSEE FRIDAY. ONCE THE LOW REACHES OUR AREA...IT IS EXPECTED TO
STALL AS A RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN U.S. GENERALLY FIVE TO NINE
INCHES OF RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN KENTUCKY...WITH LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.  THE EXACT STORM TRACK CAN HAVE A BIG
IMPACT ON THE ACTUAL EFFECTS THAT WE SEE IN KENTUCKY AND FORECASTING
OF THE MOVEMENTS OF TROPICAL SYSTEMS IS DIFFICULT. THEREFORE...THERE
IS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHERE THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAIN WILL BE
LOCATED.

WITH THE STEADY RAIN EXPECTED OVER A PERIOD OF 24 HOURS AND HIGHER
THAN NORMAL WATER LEVELS...DUE TO HEAVY RAINS EARLIER THIS
MONTH...FLOODING OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND AREA RIVERS COULD OCCUR.
FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION MEDIA
FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR MORE INFORMATION...CHECK OUR
INTERNET WEB SITE AT WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/JKL.

$$
A FLOOD WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS ARE EXPECTED TO
RISE QUICKLY TO NEAR OR ABOVE BANKFULL LEVELS. REMEMBER...A WATCH
MEANS THAT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BUT NOT IMMINENT.

$$
JM/DUSTY





SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1007 PM EDT WED SEP 15 2004

ADAIR KY-ALLEN KY-ANDERSON KY-BARREN KY-BOURBON KY-BOYLE KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-BULLITT KY-BUTLER KY-CASEY KY-CLARK IN-CLARK KY-
CLINTON KY-CRAWFORD IN-CUMBERLAND KY-DUBOIS IN-EDMONSON KY-
FAYETTE KY-FLOYD IN-FRANKLIN KY-GARRARD KY-GRAYSON KY-GREEN KY-
HANCOCK KY-HARDIN KY-HARRISON IN-HARRISON KY-HART KY-HENRY KY-
JEFFERSON IN-JEFFERSON KY-JESSAMINE KY-LARUE KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-
MADISON KY-MARION KY-MEADE KY-MERCER KY-METCALFE KY-MONROE KY-
NELSON KY-NICHOLAS KY-OHIO KY-OLDHAM KY-ORANGE IN-PERRY IN-
RUSSELL KY-SCOTT IN-SCOTT KY-SHELBY KY-SIMPSON KY-SPENCER KY-
TAYLOR KY-TRIMBLE KY-WARREN KY-WASHINGTON IN-WASHINGTON KY-
WOODFORD KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARDSTOWN...BOWLING GREEN...
CAMPBELLSVILLE...COLUMBIA...CORYDON...CYNTHIANA...DANVILLE...
ELIZABETHTOWN...FRANKFORT...FRANKLIN...GLASGOW...HARDINSBURG...
HARRODSBURG...JASPER...LEITCHFIELD...LEXINGTON...LOUISVILLE...
NEW ALBANY...RICHMOND...RUSSELLVILLE...SHELBYVILLE...STANFORD...
VERSAILLES...WINCHESTER
1007 PM EDT (907 PM CDT) WED SEP 15 2004

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND DUE TO THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IVAN...

HURRICANE IVAN IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL LATE TONIGHT AROUND THE
ALABAMA GULF COAST. THE REMNANTS OF THE HURRICANE WILL THEN MOVE
SLOWLY NORTHEAST TOWARD THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE RAINFALL FORECASTS SUGGEST A SWATH OF HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE
ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL KENTUCKY...WITH STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6
INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL COULD
PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING AND WIDESPREAD RIVER FLOODING. IN THE
REMAINDER OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN INDIANA...RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED TO BE 1-3 INCHES AT MOST. HOWEVER...ANY SHIFT FURTHER WEST
IN THE STORM TRACK COULD SHIFT THE HEAVY RAINFALL FURTHER WEST. FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS ON THE POTENTIAL FLOODING SITUATION...SEE THE
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK PRODUCT UNDER SDFESFSDF FROM THIS OFFICE. IN
ADDITION...WIND GUSTS OF 25-30 MPH WILL OCCUR AT TIMES ACROSS THE
AREA.

PEOPLE IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE IVAN AND THE POTENTIAL FLOODING IMPACT. STAY
TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

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