[KYHAM] Facts of Hurricane Lili possible impact in Kentucky

[Pat Spencer, KD4PWL]

So many people from across the state have inquired with me in the past 24 
hours, I thought I would do this publicly and as briefly as 
possible:  Please feel free to distribute this information to any of your 
groups.  Sources are cited so you can decide for yourself.  This is simply 
a relay of information, and not an analysis.  For a good collection of 
links to authoritative weather information visit 
http:www.qsl.net/kd4pwl/wx.html

Be aware that we may have a severe weather scenario in the coming couple of 
days.

Source: National Hurricane Center: 
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_astorm13.html
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Hurricane Lili is a VERY fast moving storm that will make landfall at 13:00 
Thursday halfway between New Orleans and the LA/TX border on the Gulf 
Coast.  It is currently a category 4 hurricane, and is projected to 
possibly become a category 5 before reaching land tomorrow.  By 13:00 
Friday, the center of Lili is projected to be in the KY-TN-MO border 
area.  Then by 13:00 Saturday it is projected to be at the Canadian border.

Depending on where you are in Kentucky, you have a 10-49% chance of the 
center of Lili passing overhead.  The greatest area of risk is in an area 
from Cincinnati through Bowling Green to the Mississippi River.

Source: Storm Prediction Center: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/index.html
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A slight risk of severe weather exists in nearly all of Kentucky for 
Friday.  This is currently on the 3 day convective outlook, which is the 
farthest out they project.  Watch this page over the next couple of days as 
this risk may increase.

Source: National Weather Service Forecast Offices covering Kentucky:
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Charleston, W.VA.
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FRIDAY...INCREASING CLOUDINESS WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE 
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. .
FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. 
CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.

Jackson, KY
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FRIDAY...INCREASING CLOUDINESS WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE 
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. 
CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.

Louisville, KY
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FRIDAY...WINDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOCALLY HEAVY 
DOWNPOURS POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...THEN DIMINISHING OR 
ENDING OVERNIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS POSSIBLE EARLY. LOWS NEAR 60. 
CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.

Paducah, KY
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FRIDAY...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

Wilmington, OH
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FRIDAY...INCREASING CLOUDINESS. RAIN LIKELY LATE WITH A CHANCE OF 
THUNDERSTORMS. BREEZY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. BREEZY. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 100 PERCENT.

I have not seen any rainfall estimates yet.

Be aware of your surroundings. Take care!
Pat Spencer, KD4PWL
Fayette County ARES Severe Weather Coordinator
ARRL KY Assistant Section Manager