[KYHAM] Ky ARES Wx Advisory: Attn: North and East Ky.

[Ron Dodson]

CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH-CENTRAL INDIANA SEVERE WEATHER
OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1045 AM EDT MON JUN 3 2002

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OKLAHOMA HAS FORECAST
A SLIGHT 
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PARTS OF
THE 
BLUEGRASS OF KENTUCKY, BASICALLY NORTH AND EAST OF
LEXINGTON.

A DIFFUSE SURFACE FRONT WILL SLOWLY PUSH NORTHWARD ACROSS
NORTH 
CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN INDIANA THIS AFTERNOON. WEAK
SURFACE 
CONVERGENCE COMBINED WITH A MOIST AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE
COULD 
TRIGGER SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF A PAOLI, TO
LOUISVILLE, 
TO SOMERSET LINE. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE STRONGEST STORMS
EXISTS 
ACROSS THE BLUEGRASS REGION OF KENTUCKY NORTH AND EAST OF
LEXINGTON, 
WHERE THE FREEZING LEVELS ARE SLIGHTLY LOWER AND THE
LOW-LEVEL 
CONVERGENCE IS SLIGHTLY MORE FAVORABLE.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM ANY STORMS THAT BECOME SEVERE WOULD
BE HAIL 
AND INTENSE RAINFALL. 

ACROSS THE REST OF KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN INDIANA, BASICALLY
ALONG 
AND SOUTH OF A PAOLI, TO LOUISVILLE, TO SOMERSET LINE,
THUNDERSTORMS 
ARE UNLIKELY DUE TO THE PRESENCE A WARM LAYER OF AIR 10 TO
15 
THOUSAND FEET ABOVE THE GROUND. IN ADDITION TO THIS CAP, THE
SURFACE 
CONVERGENCE IS EXPECTED BE NEARLY ZERO ACROSS THIS AREA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO, LOCAL TELEVISION STATIONS,
AND THE 
INTERNET FOR FURTHER UPDATES. SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS
NOT 
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.