[KCDXC] FW: [Cq-l] CQ News: HF Propagation Update from NW7US

[Reicher, James]

FYI, y'all

73 de N8AU, Jim in Raymore, MO

-----Original Message-----
From: cq-l-bounces at unix14.sunserver.com
[mailto:cq-l-bounces at unix14.sunserver.com] On Behalf Of Richard Moseson
Sent: Tuesday, October 05, 2004 9:09 AM
To: cq-l at unix14.sunserver.com
Subject: [Cq-l] CQ News: HF Propagation Update from NW7US

 From the CQ Newsroom...

The following is an update on HF operating conditions from CQ
Propagation 
Editor Tomas Hood, NW7US, as we approach the first weekend of the CQ
World 
Wide DX Contest (Oct. 30-31):

-----------------

Howdy, DX hounds.

The Sun has clearly quieted down considerably since the beginning of
2004.
The end of Solar Cycle 23 is expected between 2006 and 2007, so we are
far
into the decline of the current cycle. We'll see an occasional coronal
hole, and short-lived flare-ups of solar activity with associated
coronal
mass ejections.  But, they will be spaced farther apart than what we've
seen even as recent as July of this year.

During October 2004, and especially during the last weekend of this
month
(the CQ WW SSB contest weekend), we should experience fair conditions.
We
won't see high sunspot counts and the 10.7-cm flux will be averaging
around 100 to 110.  This will mean that 20 meters will be the primary
contest band, with 15 meters a player during the daylight hours, though
with a lot less umph than the previous couple of years.  There will be
some marginal activity on 10 meters.  The lower bands (40 through 160)
are
getting better, though.

During the middle of October, we'll see a bit of geomagnetic activity
from
a coronal hole, but nothing that will make conditions overly rough.  In
general, this whole month, conditions will stay on a more-or-less even
moderate level.

I keep a daily update of the "Last Minute Forecast" table at

http://hfradio.org/lastminute_propagation.html

which is part of the http://prop.hfradio.org suite of propagation
resource
pages.

I'll create updates as we get closer to the CQ WW SSB weekend.  And,
I'll
be posting my predictions for the CQ WW CW weekend, too.  Good luck,
DXers!

73 de Tomas, NW7US (AAR0JA/AAA0WA)

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