[HCRA] Coordination message for 28 July

[et-n1qko at juno.com]

 Eric Tuller   N1QKO
Assistant SKYWARN Coordinator for W.MA.    Ware Emergency Management
Communcations
Emergency Coordinator for the MTARA.  KB1HGK   Radio Operators for
Missing Children
CT+ MD+ VT+ Stockwood + King Richards  Ren Faires

Hello to all….

 

….Potential exists for another active severe weather day in Southern New
England today after yesterday’s more widespread severe weather event
spilled down into New Jersey versus Southern New England. Today’s event
features a strong impulse and associated cool front which will set the
stage for the potential of pockets of damaging winds, large hail, perhaps
flash flooding and isolated supercells from Noon-7PM EDT today for much
of Southern New England away from the south coasts….

….SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is expected anytime after
Noon today….

 

At 740 AM EDT, Satellite pictures and radar showed relatively clear
conditions with a lot of sunshine over Southern New England. It also
shows lingering shower and thunderstorm activity over New York State. It
will be this activity in New York State that will most likely intensify
over Southern New England bringing with it, the potential for severe
weather with pockets of damaging winds, large hail, perhaps flash
flooding and isolated supercells the primary threats. Initially, it
appeared that the event would occur later in the evening. It now appears
that severe weather will occur in the Noon-7 PM EDT timeframe. Wind
fields aloft are much stronger than they were over the last 2 days and
instability parameters will be similar to the last couple of days given
the amount of sunshine over the region. Assuming these parameters line up
as expected, another active severe weather day is shaping up for much of
Southern New England away from the South coasts of Massachusetts and
Rhode Island. This will be setting the stage for intense heat and
humidity for the weekend into early next week with further chances for
severe weather after this weekend.

 

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is expected anytime after Noon
today. Will attempt to update the email if Ops are active if time allows.
Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and Special Weather
Statement:

 

FLUS41 KBOX 281028

HWOBOX

 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA

628 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

 

ANZ230>237-250-254-255-CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-

RIZ001>008-291028-

BARNSTABLE-BLOCK ISLAND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-BOSTON HARBOR-BRISTOL-

BUZZARDS BAY-CAPE COD BAY-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY-CHESHIRE-

COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT

40 NM-

COASTAL WATERS FROM NANTUCKET MA TO MARTHAS VINEYARD MA TO BLOCK

ISLAND RI TO MONTAUK NY SOUTHEAST TO 20NM-

COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA

OUT 20 NM-DUKES-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN HAMPDEN-

EASTERN HAMPSHIRE-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH-EASTERN KENT-EASTERN NORFOLK-

EASTERN PLYMOUTH-HARTFORD-NANTUCKET-NANTUCKET SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-

NEWPORT-NORTHERN BRISTOL-NORTHERN WORCESTER-

NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-

SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE-SOUTHERN BRISTOL-

SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH-SOUTHERN WORCESTER-SUFFOLK-TOLLAND-VINEYARD SOUND-

WASHINGTON-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH-WESTERN ESSEX-

WESTERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN HAMPDEN-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE-WESTERN KENT-

WESTERN NORFOLK-WESTERN PLYMOUTH-WINDHAM-

628 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

 

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN

CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...

NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN

MASSACHUSETTS...MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS...SOUTHERN NEW

HAMPSHIRE...CENTRAL RHODE ISLAND AND NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

 

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FAR MORE WIDESPREAD THAN THOSE THAT FINALLY

DEVELOPED THURSDAY EVENING.  IT IS EXPECTED THAT THERE WILL BE

SEVERAL PATHS OF WET MICROBURST DAMAGE ALONG WITH DAMAGING LIGHTNING

STRIKES AND BRIEF POOR DRAINAGE STREET FLOODING RAINS OF 2.5 INCHES

IN AN HOUR. HAIL IS POSSIBLE IN SEVERAL STORMS. ISOLATED

THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING WILL INTENSIFY DURING FORENOON.

 

DAMAGING STORMS ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN NOON AND 7 PM...FOR ALL OF THE

AREA EXCEPT NOT THE SOUTH COASTS OF RHODE ISLAND AND MASSACHUSETTS

PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR PRELIMINARY TIMING

DETAILS.

 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A HEAT WAVE MAY BE ONGOING IF FRIDAYS /TODAYS/ TEMPERATURES TOUCH 90

AT HARTFORD...LAWRENCE...FITCHBURG...MANCHESTER OR NASHUA.

 

NO MATTER...IT IS EXPECTED A MORE FORMAL STATEMENT OF HEAT WAVE

EXPECTATIONS WILL BE ISSUED AS WE BRACE FOR POTENTIAL ADDITIONAL DAY

AFTER DAY 90 DEGREE HEAT SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLY NEAR

100 DEGREE HEAT FOR 1 DAY NEXT TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY IN THE HARTFORD

AREA.  HEAT INDICES WILL APPROACH 100 ON MOST DAYS FOR AN HOUR OR

SO...ESPECIALLY FROM HARTFORD TO WOONSOCKET AND TAUNTON WITH THE

POSSIBILITY OF DANGEROUS 105 DEGREE OR GREATER HEAT INDICES NEXT

TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY. IF THERE WERE TO BE A BREAK IN THE HEAT...

SUNDAY MIGHT BE THE DAY FOR SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES.

 

OFFICIALS SHOULD BE ALERT TO ADVANCE PREPARATIONS FOR HEAT RELATED

NEEDS AT ANY OUTDOOR EVENTS AS WELL AS FOR THE ELDERLY...CHILDREN AND

THOSE WITH RESPIRATORY AILMENTS.  POWER OUTAGES WOULD EXACERBATE THE

SITUATION.

 

THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE OF ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS BOTH

SUNDAY AND MONDAY AFTERNOONS.

 

IT MAY BECOME TOO HOT TO THUNDER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY DESPITE AN

APPROACHING COOL FRONT.

 

EVENTUALLY THAT FRONT WILL SLIDE INTO OR JUST SOUTH OF SOUTHERN NEW

ENGLAND AND SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM GENERATING HEAVY RAINS

HERE.

 

AIR QUALITY MAY BECOME UNHEALTHY FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME IN

PARTS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...ESPECIALLY CONNECTICUT...PARTLY

DEPENDENT ON WIND DIRECTION...WIND SPEEDS...AND INVERSIONS.

 

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION FOR DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL OR FLOODING

RAINS...WILL BE NEEDED AROUND NOON TODAY ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE

95.

 

$$

JWD/DRAG



WWUS81 KBOX 280725

SPSBOX

 

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA

325 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

 

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>019-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>004-281900-

HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-

EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-

WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-

WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-

SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-

SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-

WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-

CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-

WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-

SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...

VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...

ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...

GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...

SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...

CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...

AYER...JAFFREY...KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...

WEARE...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...

WARWICK

325 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

 

...HOT AND HUMID WEATHER MAY LEAD TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS

OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TODAY...

 

A COOL FRONT MOVING EAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES...COMBINED WITH

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES NEAR 90 AND HIGH HUMIDITY...IS EXPECTED TO

PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING.

 

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE EAST SLOPES OF THE

BERKSHIRES AND CONNECTICUT VALLEY...INTO THE BOSTON AND PROVIDENCE

AREAS. THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...TORRENTIAL

RAINFALL WITH POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

 

THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS...

NOON TO 3 PM IN THE CONNECTICUT VALLEY...

1 PM TO 4 PM IN THE WORCESTER HILLS...

2 PM TO 5 PM IN PROVIDENCE...BOSTON AND THE MERRIMACK VALLEY.

 

IF YOU HAVE OUTDOOR PLANS TODAY...BE ALERT FOR SIGNS OF THREATENING

WEATHER. HAVE A SAFE PLACE TO GO TO IF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH...SUCH

AS A CAR OR STRONG BUILDING. OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES SHOULD BE POSTPONED

UNTIL THE STORMS PASS.

 

BOATERS ON BOSTON HARBOR...NARRAGANSETT BAY...AND THE EASTERN

MASSACHUSETTS WATERS FROM THE MERRIMACK RIVER TO PLYMOUTH SHOULD

ALSO BE ALERT FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. PLAN TO HAVE ENOUGH

TIME TO GET BACK TO SAFE HARBOR.

 

SKYWARN ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FROM NOON UNTIL 6 PM IN

ORDER TO MONITOR POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER.

 

AFTER THE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...OUR NEXT CONCERN IS THE POTENTIAL

FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF HOT AND HUMID WEATHER INTO NEXT WEEK.

 

HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL REACH THE MID 90S...WITH THE HEAT INDEX NEAR

100 DEGREES FOR A FEW HOURS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

 

THERE ALSO CONTINUE TO BE INDICATIONS THAT TEMPERATURES COULD REACH

THE UPPER 90S DURING THE EARLY AND MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. URBAN

CENTERS MAY ONLY SEE OVERNIGHT LOWS FALL IN THE UPPER 70S.

 

PEOPLE WHO ARE SUSCEPTIBLE TO HEAT RELATED ILLNESS...INCLUDING THE

ELDERLY...SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF EXCESSIVE HEAT

THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR

UPDATED INFORMATION.

 

$$

 

JWD/DRAG

 

Respectfully Submitted,

 

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)

ARES SKYWARN Coordinator

Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator

Pager #: (508) 354-3142

Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)

Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)

Work Phone #: 1-800-445-2588 Ext.: 72929 (8 AM-5 PM)

Email Address: rmacedo at rcn.com

http://users.rcn.com/rmacedo