[HCRA] Fw: Storm Coordination Message #1

[et-n1qko at juno.com]

 Eric Tuller   N1QKO
Assistant SKYWARN Coordinator for W.MA. M.E.M.A. Region 3 Radio Operator
Emergency Coordinator for the MTARA.  KB1HGK   Radio Operators for
Missing Children
CT+ MD+ VT+ Stockwood + King Richards  Ren Faires

Subject: Storm Coordination Message #1
Hello to all....

....Winter May Not Be Done Yet In Southern New England....
....A Winter Storm Watch Has Been Posted from Wednesday Evening through
Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Rhode Island, Southeast
Massahusetts, Southern Worcester, Western Norfolk and Hampden Counties of
Massachusetts Wednesday Evening into Thursday Morning for 6" or more of
snow
as a late winter Nor'easter impacts the region....
....Some form of SKYWARN Activation maybe needed for snowfall totals
every
2", final snowfall amounts and wet snow damage for this event....

After a beautiful sunny 45-55 degree day in Southern New England today,
portions of Southern New England maybe greeted with a late winter
nor'easter
that has the potential to produce 6" or more of snow. A Winter Storm
Watch
has been issued for Southwest, South-Central and Southeast Massachusetts
except for Cape Cod and the Islands, all of Rhode Island and Northern
Connecticut for Wednesday Evening into Thursday Morning. A storm system
currently producing severe weather in the Southeast United States will be
tracking north-northeastward into the Ohio Valley on Wednesday and
transfer
energy to a secondary low pressure system off of the Virginia coast. The
current track of the system brings the Low pressure system to near the 40
North/70 West benchmark and off the coast of Cape Cod Thursday Morning.
The
current storm track would put Southern New England on the cold side of
the
storm and with Northeast winds blowing over ocean waters with
temperatures
in the 30's, very little chance for warming temperatures during the day
Wednesday.

If the current storm track verifies, this might allow much of the
precipitation to fall as snow across Southern New England. In addition,
much
of the precipitation will fall at night into the morning hours at the
coldest time of the day, allowing the snow to accumulate on grass and
road
surfaces. The heaviest precipitation swath painted by the models is along
and south of the Massachusetts Turnpike with Southeast Massachusetts,
Central and Southern Rhode Island through Central and Southern
Connecticut
the area for heaviest precipitation amounts. The key to how much snow
will
fall will be storm track, temperatures at the start of the precipitation
Wednesday Evening, and how much temperatures fall during the overnight
hours. It is noted that some portions in or near the Winter Storm Watch
area
may have Winter Weather Advisories posted in later forecasts.

Some form of SKYWARN Activation maybe needed for snowfall totals every 2"
and final amounts. In addition, the snow may be heavy and wet and might
have
the potential to produce tree and power line damage in the watch area and
this threat will have to be monitored as needed. The next coordination
message will be posted by 830 AM Wednesday. Below is the Winter Storm
Watch
statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook from NWS Taunton:

WWUS41 KBOX 222100
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
400 PM EST TUE MAR 22 2005


...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO THURSDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON MA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH.

A SIGNIFICANT LATE SEASON SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

THIS WINTER STORM WATCH INCLUDES ALL OF RHODE ISLAND AND NORTHEAST
CONNECTICUT...INCLUDING THE GREATER HARTFORD AREA.  IN
MASSACHUSETTS...THE WATCH INCLUDES ALL COUNTIES SOUTH OF THE MASS
PIKE...EXCLUDING THE CITY OF BOSTON.

LOW PRESSURE OVER ARKANSAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON...WILL TRACK INTO THE
OHIO VALLEY WEDNESDAY.  BY WEDNESDAY EVENING...THIS LOW WILL WEAKEN
AND GIVE WAY TO A SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPING OFF THE VIRGINIA COAST.
THIS LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PASSING WELL SOUTH
OF NANTUCKET THURSDAY MORNING...HOWEVER TRACKING CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE
REGION FOR THE POTENTIAL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW.  THE GREATEST RISK
OF HEAVY SNOW WILL BE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEAST
CONNECTICUT AND NORTHWEST RHODE ISLAND.

SNOW WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION LATE IN THE DAY WEDNESAY AND
MAY MIX WITH RAIN AND OR SLEET AT THE START.  SNOW MAY FALL HEAVY AT
TIMES OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THIS DEVELOPING LATE SEASON
WINTER STORM.  IF LATER FORECASTS INDICATE A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL
APPEARS MORE CERTAIN...A WINTER STORM WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.
HOWEVER...IF LESS SNOW IS EXPECTED...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL
BE ISSUED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW OF 6 OR MORE
INCHES IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR 8 OR MORE INCHES IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ANYONE TRAVELING IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS SHOULD MONITOR LATER
FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO MODIFY TRAVEL PLANS SHOULD WINTER
WEATHER DEVELOP.

NOCERA

$$

WWWW

FLUS41 KBOX 222335 AAA
HWOBOX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
635 PM EST TUE MAR 22 2005


THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE...
MASSACHUSETTS EAST OF BERKSHIRE COUNTY...NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
CONNECTICUT...AND ALL OF RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...SPREADING A SWATH OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND.  THE PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN MAINLY AS RAIN WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS CONNECTICUT AND THE SOUTH COAST...WITH A MIX OF RAIN
AND SNOW OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN...THEN MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE REST OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE
NORTH OF NEW ENGLAND...COLD AIR WILL DRAIN IN...CHANGING THE
PRECIPITATION OVER TO ALL SNOW.  THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST
TO EAST DURING THURSDAY.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF ACCUMULATING SNOWS ACROSS NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...MOST OF RHODE ISLAND INTO SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS.
A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST AREAS SOUTH OF THE
MASSACHUSETTS TURNPIKE FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
FOR THIS POTENTIAL. AT THIS TIME...THE BEST CHANCE FOR SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE WILL OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL RHODE ISLAND INTO SOUTHEAST INTERIOR
MASSACHUSETTS.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT...BUT MAY BE
NEEDED LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

EVT

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Pager #: (508) 354-3142
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 1-800-445-2588 Ext.: 72929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo at rcn.com
http://users.rcn.com/rmacedo