[HCRA] Fw: Remnants of Cindy Coordination Message #1

[et-n1qko at juno.com]

 Eric Tuller   N1QKO
Assistant SKYWARN Coordinator for W.MA. M.E.M.A. Region 3 Radio Operator
Emergency Coordinator for the MTARA.  KB1HGK   Radio Operators for
Missing Children
CT+ MD+ VT+ Stockwood + King Richards  Ren Faires

--------- Forwarded message ----------
From: "SkyWarn Announcement List" <SkyWarn-list at oak.powersrvcs.net>
To: <Skywarn-list at oak.powersrvcs.net>
Date: Thu, 7 Jul 2005 18:07:57 -0400
Subject: Remnants of Cindy Coordination Message #1
Message-ID: <004901c58340$5567d1a0$6501a8c0 at oemcomputer>

Hello to all....

....The Remnants of Cindy have the potential to produce significant heavy
rainfall in some portion of Southern New England. The track of the
remnants
and the heaviest rainfall remain uncertain but could affect the region
during much of the day Friday ending early Saturday....
....Some form of SKYWARN Activation is possible on Friday for the
potential
of flooding....

The remnants of Cindy have the potential to produce significant heavy
rainfall of 1-4". This rain would not be enough to flood main stem rivers
but it would be enough to cause significant urban/poor drainage flooding
as
well as cause some of the flashier small rivers and streams to go into
flood. At this time, models are struggling with handling the remnants of
Cindy with varying tracks and scenarios as to where the heaviest rainfall
will go. This will become more clear over the next several model runs.
Some
form of SKYWARN Activation is possible on Friday for the potential of
flooding and future forecasts would help to determine the extent of any
possible activation.

The next update will be issued Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton
Hydrologic Outlook and the Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning this
threat:

416
FGUS71 KBOX 071854
ESFBOX
CTZ002>004-MAZ002>017-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>004-006-080300-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
254 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2005

..FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK

THE REMAINS OF WHAT WAS ONCE TROPICAL STORM CINDY ARE CURRENTLY
LOCATED OVER SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. THIS REMNANTS OF CINDY WILL TRACK
NORTHEASTWARD...PASSING JUST SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND FRIDAY EVENING.
MOST OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL SEE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL ON
FRIDAY...WITH AMOUNTS OF ONE TO FOUR INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE INTERIOR. THE HEAVIEST RAIN LOOKS TO FALL FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...BUT WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUING AT LEAST
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

IT STILL REMAINS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME IF THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL
WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD FLOODING.  NUISANCE FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AND
URBAN AREAS IS MORE LIKELY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
PARTICULARLY ACROSS WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND CONNECTICUT. TRAVELERS
SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE DELAYS.

THIS SITUATION IS STILL DEVELOPING. FLOOD WATCHES MAY BE ISSUED
LATER THIS EVENING OR EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

FRANK

984
FLUS41 KBOX 071037
HWOBOX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
637 AM EDT THU JUL 7 2005

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-121100-
BARNSTABLE MA-BLOCK ISLAND RI-BRISTOL RI-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
CHESHIRE NH-DUKES MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
EASTERN KENT RI-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-HARTFORD CT-
NANTUCKET MA-NEWPORT RI-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SUFFOLK MA-TOLLAND CT-
WASHINGTON RI-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN KENT RI-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-WINDHAM CT-
637 AM EDT THU JUL 7 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE...
MASSACHUSETTS EAST OF BERKSHIRE COUNTY...NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
CONNECTICUT...AND ALL OF RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE (TODAY AND TONIGHT)
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN (FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)

THE REMAINS OF WHAT WAS ONCE TROPICAL STORM CINDY ARE EXPECTED TO
MOVE FROM THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE FRIDAY...INTO THE GULF OF MAINE
ON SATURDAY.  PLEASE SEE THE BOSESFBOX FOR DETAILS ON THE FLOOD
POTENTIAL.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS
WELL...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHEAST CT...RI AND SOUTHEAST MA INCLUDING
CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS.  ANY THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

 .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

 Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Pager #: (508) 354-3142
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo at rcn.com
http://users.rcn.com/rmacedo