[HCRA] Fw: Severe Weather Coordination Message #1

[et-n1qko at juno.com]

 Eric Tuller   N1QKO
Assistant SKYWARN Coordinator for W.MA. M.E.M.A. Region 3 Radio Operator
Emergency Coordinator for the MTARA.  KB1HGK   Radio Operators for
Missing Children
CT+ MD+ VT+ Stockwood + King Richards  Ren Faires

--------- Forwarded message ----------
From: "SkyWarn Announcement List" <SkyWarn-list at oak.powersrvcs.net>
To: <SKYWARN-list at oak.powersrvcs.net>
Date: Fri, 1 Jul 2005 09:25:50 -0400
Subject: Severe Weather Coordination Message #1
Message-ID: <001101c57e40$6651f0e0$6501a8c0 at oemcomputer>

Hello to all....

....SPC has placed Extreme Western New England in a Slight Risk for
Severe
Weather with NWS Taunton expecting the risk of severe weather could
propagate as far east as Southwest New Hamphsire, Central Massachusetts
and
North-Central Connecticut. Damaging Winds and Large Hail are the primary
threats....
....SKYWARN Activation With Ops at NWS Taunton is Possible This Afternoon
and Tonight anytime from 1-8 PM EDT.....

The Storm Prediction Center has placed Extreme Western New England in a
Slight Risk for Severe Weather Today. NWS Taunton is expecting the threat
for severe thunderstorms to potentially go as far east as Southwest New
Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts and North-Central
Connecticut.
Damaging Winds and Large Hail would be the primary threats.

A Squall Line of thunderstorms is expected to get active in New York
State
later today. This squall line is expected to move eastward and could
enter
New England some time during the afternoon and evening hours. The timing
of
the cold front, the extent of how quickly low clouds and fog burn off
across
portions of the region, and how organized the squall line of
thunderstorms
becomes will all be factors in how widespread and far east severe weather
will propagate into New England. Breaks in the clouds have already
occurred
in Western Massachusetts with temperatures in the Low 70's which is
similar
to temperatures in Eastern New York currently. Temperatures in the upper
70's to lower 80's are already prevelant in Central NY and Central
Pennsylvania under sunny skies. This is expected to propagate eastward
and
would allow for sufficient destabilization for a squall line of
thunderstorms some severe to traverse into portions of Western New
England
during the afternoon and evening hours.

This threat will be monitored closely today. There is some question as to
how organized this squall line could become but if sufficient heating and
destablization were to take place, a potentailly widespread event is
likely
in New York State and that widespread event could affect portions of
Western
New England particularly from Manchester, New Hampshire to Worcester
Massachusetts to Willimantic Connecticut and points westward. The
timeframe
of this event is from 1-8 PM this evening. SKYWARN Acitvation with Ops at
NWS Taunton is possible this afternoon and tonight anytime after 1 PM
this
afternoon.

Another message will be posted if time allows later this afternoon. Below
is
the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

WWUS81 KBOX 010937
SPSBOX

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
535 AM EDT FRI JUL 1 2005

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>005-008>012-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001-011730-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
HARTFORD CT-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-TOLLAND CT-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WINDHAM CT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AMHERST...BRISTOL...CHICOPEE...
EAST HARTFORD...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...GREENFIELD...HARTFORD...
JAFFREY...KEENE...LEOMINSTER...LOWELL...MANCHESTER...MANSFIELD...
MILFORD...NASHUA...NEW BRITAIN...NEWINGTON...NORTHAMPTON...
PLAINFIELD...PUTNAM...SPRINGFIELD...VERNON...WEST HARTFORD...
WILLIMANTIC...WINDSOR LOCKS...WOONSOCKET AND WORCESTER
535 AM EDT FRI JUL 1 2005

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS
MAY BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...OR FLASH
FLOODING FROM HEAVY DOWNPOURS.  THE MOST LIKELY LOCATION OF DAMAGING
THUNDERSTORMS WOULD BE IN THE MONADNOCK REGION OF SOUTHWEST NEW
HAMPSHIRE...THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY...AND THE EASTERN SLOPES OF
THE BERKSHIRES.  THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOST LIKELY OCCUR BETWEEN 1
PM AND 8 PM.

A COLD FRONT RACING EAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL RUN INTO
WARM...HUMID...UNSTABLE AIR. THIS WILL CAUSE THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM
OVER NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND.THE BEST CHANCE OF DAMAGING
WEATHER WILL BE IN NEW YORK.  BUT NEW ENGLAND IS CLOSE ENOUGH FOR A
FEW POTENTIALLY DAMAGING STORMS TO STEP ACROSS THE STATE BORDER INTO
THE AREA.

PEOPLE LIVING OR TRAVELING THROUGH WESTERN AND CENTRAL SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND SHOULD STAY ALERT TO CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.  THESE
PEOPLE SHOULD ALSO BE PREPARED FOR ANY WATCHES AND WARNINGS THAT MAY
BE ISSUED LATER TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

WTB

FLUS41 KBOX 010912
HWOBOX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
510 AM EDT FRI JUL 1 2005

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-021000-
BARNSTABLE MA-BLOCK ISLAND RI-BRISTOL RI-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
CHESHIRE NH-DUKES MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
EASTERN KENT RI-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-HARTFORD CT-
NANTUCKET MA-NEWPORT RI-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SUFFOLK MA-TOLLAND CT-
WASHINGTON RI-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN KENT RI-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-WINDHAM CT-
510 AM EDT FRI JUL 1 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE...
MASSACHUSETTS EAST OF BERKSHIRE COUNTY...NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
CONNECTICUT...AND ALL OF RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE (TODAY AND TONIGHT)
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL HELP INITIATE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS A RISK OF SOME
THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AND/OR HAIL...MAINLY WEST OF A MANCHESTER...WORCESTER...AND
WILLIMANTIC LINE. IN ADDITION...A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY
CONTAIN FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
THERE IS A CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CAPE AND ISLANDS
SATURDAY MORNING...OTHERWISE DRY CONDITIONS AND LESS HUMIDITY ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE REST OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT MAY INITIATE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE FRONT MAY STALL OVER OR
NEAR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND RESULT IN MORE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING DUE TO A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY ACROSS THE
WESTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA.

$$

THOMPSON



Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Pager #: (508) 354-3142
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo at rcn.com
http://users.rcn.com/rmacedo