[HCRA] Fw: Flood Coordination Message #1

Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:34:39 -0400

                               Eric Tuller   N1QKO
    flash floods+warlords+winter storms+callisto+tornados
        WHEN ALL ELSE FAILS.....AMATEUR RADIO !!
  earthquakes+monsters+hurricanes+evil gods+public service
               CT+ MD+ VT+ King Richards  Ren Faires

--------- Forwarded message ----------
From: "Rob Macedo" <[email protected]>
To: <Undisclosed-Recipient:;>
Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 08:14:16 -0400
Subject: Flood Coordination Message #1
Message-ID: <006501c36002$902e9980$c5b53bd0@skywarnmainpc>

Hello to all...

....A Flood Watch is in effect from Today Through Tuesday Evening for
Southern New Hampshire, and for Franklin, Western Hampshire, Western
Hampden, Northern Worcester and Northwest Middlesex Counties of
Massachusetts....
....Isolated Severe Weather May Also Occur Today and Tomorrow if storms
can
build and become deep enough in Southern New Hamsphire and Western
Massachusetts...
....SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton Possible Today...

The continued pattern with a trough to our west has caused isolated cases
of
Flash Flooding across parts of Southern New England. The hardest hit area
is
Cheshrie County New Hampshire where flash flooding closed and washed out
roads and repairs are still being done to roads in the area. Other areas
that received flash flooding include the Lowell, Massachusetts area and
the
Bridgewater and Taunton, Massachusetts area of Eastern Massachusetts. The
trough is slowly making its way east and its approach to the region will
cause more numerous heavy showers and thunderstorms. These showers and
thunderstorms could train over the same areas causing the potential for
flooding. A Flood Watch has been posted for portions of Western and
North-Central Massachusetts as well as Southern New Hampshire for this
threat. Over the next 2 days, the threat will be more widespread than in
previous days. The greatest threat for flooding will be between 2-9 PM
when
convection will get the most "fuel" from any daytime heating that occurs
during the day.

Also, there is a chance that one or two thunderstorms could pose an
isolated
severe weather threat which means possibly hail 3/4" in diameter or
larger
as well as wind gusts 58 MPH or greater causing wind damage. This threat
will also be monitored.

SKYWARN Coordinators and Spotters in and near the Flood Watch area are
asked
to be prepared for SKYWARN Activation later today and tonight. We will be
looking for measured rainfall reports 1" per hour, measured rainfall
reports
of 2" or greater and then reports every 2", street flooding enough to get
cars stuck or cause road closures as well as river and stream flooding
and
road washouts.

The next message will be posted tomorrow if a Flood Watch continues in
effect for any significant portion of Southern New England. Below is the
Flood Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook from NWS Taunton:

WGUS61 KBOX 110759
FFABOX
MAZ002>004-008-009-026-NHZ011-012-015-111945-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
355 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2003

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH FOR THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

THIS FLOOD WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN MASSACHUSETTS
     NORTHERN WORCESTER...WESTERN FRANKLIN...EASTERN FRANKLIN...
     WESTERN HAMPSHIRE...WESTERN HAMPDEN AND NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX
     COUNTY

IN NEW HAMPSHIRE
     CHESHIRE...EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL
     HILLSBOROUGH

THIS FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR FLASH FLOODING
ALONG SMALL RIVERS AND STREAMS. ANYONE CAMPING OR HIKING ALONG
RIVERS AND STREAMS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE READY TO HEAD FOR
HIGHER GROUND SHOULD WARNINGS BE ISSUED LATE TODAY OR TUESDAY.

ALREADY SIGNIFICANT AND DAMAGING FLOODS HAVE OCCURRED IN SMALL
PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA...ESPECIALLY THE WESTERN PART OF CHESHIRE
COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE. THIS FROM RAINS OVER THE PAST 4
DAYS...ESTIMATED WELL OVER 6 INCHES.

AN UNSTABLE TROPICAL AIRMASS OVER THE WATCH AREA COMBINED WITH A
SLOWING DOWN OF THE STORM STEERING CURRENTS...ALREADY WET GROUND...
AND A WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM DEVELOPING SOMEWHERE IN NORTHERN
MASSACHUSETTS OR SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...CREATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR POCKETS OF EXCESSIVE
SHORT TERM RAINS.  ONCE THE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
FORM...THEY WILL BE SLOW MOVING AND COULD REPEATEDLY TRACK OVER THE
SAME REGION FOR 2 HOURS AT A TIME.

THE MOST FAVORABLE PERIOD FOR FLOOD POTENTIAL THE NEXT TWO DAYS IS
BETWEEN 2 PM AND 9 PM...AND THE EXCESSIVE RAIN THREAT...APPEARS TO
BE SOMEWHAT HIGHER TOMORROW.

ISOLATED LOCATIONS WESTERN AND NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS AS WELL AS
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL NEW HAMPSHIRE MAY SEE 2 OR 3 INCHES OF
RAIN IN AN HOUR.  ANY FUTURE WARNINGS WILL OFFER MORE SPECIFIC AND
DETAILED INFORMATION.

$$
DRAG

FLUS41 KBOX 111002
HWOBOX
CTZ002>004-MAZ002>015-017>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>003-005>008-
121100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
603 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE...
MASSACHUSETTS EAST OF BERKSHIRE COUNTY...NORTHEAST CONNECTICUT AND
RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS ALONG WITH SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE.  PLEASE
SEE OUR FLOOD WATCH PRODUCT (BOSFFABOX) FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SOME OF THESE SHOWERS WILL CONTAIN TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...WHICH WILL
RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FLOOD WATCH
AREA.

ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORMS AND THEIR ASSOCIATED LIGHTNING STRIKE RISK ARE
FORECAST WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...LARGE HAIL AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS
ARE NOT EXPECTED.

IN ADDITION...FIVE FOOT SOUTHERLY SWELLS WILL BE ROLLING ASHORE
FROM RHODE ISLAND TO NANTUCKET TODAY AND THESE MAY DEVELOP RIP TIDES
ON THE TYPICALLY VULNERABLE BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  THESE WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
AREAS OF TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR RAINFALL AND SMALL STREAM
FLOWS FOR ANY INDICATIONS OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND/OR FLOODING.
REPORTING CRITERIA INCLUDE 1 INCH OR GREATER IN AN HOUR AND/OR 2
INCHES OR GREATER STORM TOTALS.

$$

FOR WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY THRESHOLDS, PLEASE REFER TO THE FOLLOWING
LINK (ALL LOWER CASE):
HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ER/BOX/WARNINGCRITERIA.SHTML .

FRANK

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Southeast Massachusetts ARES District Emergency Coordinator
SEMARA ARES Emergency Coordinator
Pager #: (508) 354-3142
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 1-800-445-2588 Ext.: 72929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: [email protected]
http://users.rcn.com/rmacedo