[HCRA] Fw: TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 10

Mon, 23 Sep 2002 20:41:25 -0400

Eric N1QKO

--------- Forwarded message ----------
From: [email protected]
To: [email protected]
Date: Mon, 23 Sep 2002 17:48:55 -0400 (EST)
Subject: TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER  10
Message-ID: <[email protected]>

000
WTNT33 KNHC 232035
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON SEP 23 2002

...TROPICAL STORM LILI BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES
ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN LESSER
ANTILLES FROM ST. LUCIA SOUTHWARD TO GRENADA AND ITS ISLAND
DEPENDENCIES...AND ALSO FOR BARBADOS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL LESSER
ANTILLES FROM GUADELOUPE SOUTHWARD TO MARTINIQUE.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.2 WEST OR ABOUT
15 MILES...25 KM...EAST OF THE GRENADINE ISLANDS. 

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...AND THIS 
GENERAL WEST OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER 
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS 
TRACK...TROPICAL STORM LILI WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS 
LATER TONIGHT AND EMERGE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA BY TUESDAY 
MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.	SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... 
BUT LILI IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE IT MOVES 
THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT. DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS... 
WINDS GUSTS TO 75 MPH HAVE OCCURRED AT BARBADOS AND GUSTS TO 54 MPH 
HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT ST. LUCIA. 

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH GREATER AMOUNTS OVER 
HIGHER TERRAIN...IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND 
BARBADOS TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...12.6 N... 61.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART

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