[HCARC] Fwd: Fw: Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Expected Overnight Monday into Tuesday Morning

[kd5wdq .]

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Kovelan <kovelan at yahoo.com>
Date: Mon, 16 Nov 2015 00:21:28 +0000 (UTC)
Subject: Fw: Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Expected Overnight Monday
into Tuesday Morning
To: kd5wdq at gmail.com



--- On Sun, 11/15/15, SR-EWX Alert - NOAA Service Account
<SR-EWX.Alert at noaa.gov> wrote:

> From: SR-EWX Alert - NOAA Service Account <SR-EWX.Alert at noaa.gov>
> Subject: Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Expected Overnight Monday into Tuesday Morning
> To:
> Date: Sunday, November 15, 2015, 6:17 PM
>
> Good Evening South-Central Texas
> Partners,Headline:
>
>
> Severe Thunderstorms will be
> possible beginning Monday night and lasting through Tuesday
> morning.
> Area of Concern: (graphic attached)
>
> All of South Central Texas
> excluding the Rio Grande Plains.
>
> Threats &
> Impacts: (in order of significance)
>
>
>
> Winds:  The biggest concern with the highest
> confidence for this event. We should be receiving a mature,
> well-developed squall line which will be capable of straight
> line winds of 50-70
> mph.Tornadoes:  There is a risk for tornadoes IF any
> isolated storms develop ahead of the line. Confidence is NOT
> high that we will see these isolated storms at this time.
> However, if we do, tornado development will be
> possible. The risk will be much lower with the
> squall line.Lightning: The environment is favorable for
> significant lightning activity, especially with the squall
> line as it passes through. Expect frequent cloud to ground
> lightning strikes.
> Hail:  Large hail will be possible, both if we
> receive isolated storms ahead of the line and with the
> squall line itself. Quarter sized to ping pong ball sized
> hail will be possible.
> Timing and Overview: (graphic
> attached)A
> strong upper level storm system will begin to impact South
> Central Texas Monday night and persist through Tuesday
> morning. At this time, it appears likely that a strong to
> severe line of storms will begin to enter the Hill Country
> around midnight and push eastward towards the Austin area,
> reaching the I-35 corridor by around daybreak Tuesday
> morning. The line will be capable of producing severe
> straight line winds, large hail, and frequent cloud to
> ground lightning.There is also a possibility
> for isolated supercell storms to develop ahead of the line
> during the evening hours (6pm-midnight). While there is
> currently considerable uncertainty that this will occur, if
> these isolated cells develop, they will also have the
> potential for producing tornadoes. The area of concern for
> this isolated storm development is along the I-35 corridor
> and areas east.Confidence:Winds:
> Moderate to High
> Tornadoes:  Low (if isolated cells develop, then
> moderate)Hail:  ModerateLightning: Moderate
> to high
>
> Additional
> Information Resources:
>
>
>
>
>
> ·
> NWS Austin / San Antonio Contact
> Numbers:
> 800-292-5508 or 830-606-3617
>
> ·
> NWS Austin
> / San Antonio Webpage:  http://www.weather.gov/sanantonio
>
> ·
> Storm
> Prediction Center:  http://www.spc.noaa.gov/
>
> ·
> Online Severe
> Weather Reporting:  http://www.srh.noaa.gov/StormReport/SubmitReport.php?site=EWX
>
> Request
> for Information:
>
>
>
> Please relay severe weather reports and/or photo’s of
> severe weather to sr-ewx.alert at noaa.gov
>
>
>
>
> Sincerely,
>
> Trevor Boucher & Aaron
> Treadway2090 Airport
> RoadNew Braunfels, TX
> 78130weather.gov/austin
> Forecast Desk: 830-606-3617
> sr-ewx.alert at noaa.gov
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>