[FLARES] HURRICANE WANDA ADVISORY NUMBER 11

Thu May 20 23:00:14 EDT 2004

Sent by Wxsvr in support of the South Florida Section SET 2004

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE WANDA ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU MAY 20 2004

THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.

..DRILL! WANDA NOW A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE... HURRICANE CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA COUNTIES...LAKE OKEECHOBEE...AND COASTAL WATERS...

A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR BIMINI... GRAND BAHAMA... AND ABACO ISLANDS IN THE BAHAMAS.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BOCA GRANDE.  THIS INCLUDES ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE DRY TORTUGAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT NORTH OF BOCA GRANDE TO LONGBOAT KEY BUT WILL PROBABLY BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FROM FLORIDA CITY TO JUPITER INLET ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.  A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO BRUNSWICK GEORGIA BUT WILL LIKELY BE UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

AT 11 PM EDT... 0300 UTC... THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WANDA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE  80.4 WEST.  THIS POSITION IS
ABOUT 25 MILES... 40 KM... SOUTHWEST OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA.

WANDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH... 21 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.  ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF WANDA WILL EMERGE INTO THE ATLANTIC EARLY FRIDAY.  DO NOT FOCUS ON THE PRECISE LOCATION AND TRACK OF THE CENTER.  THE HURRICANES DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND RAIN COVER A WIDE SWATH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED SLIGHTLY TO 110 MPH... 177 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS... IN SQUALLS OVER THE WATERS OFF THE FLORIDA SOUTHEAST COAST AND OVER LAKE OKEECHOBEE.  A WIND GUST TO 101 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT THE BELLE GLADE AGRICULTURAL STATION AND A SUSTAINED WIND OF 97 MPH WAS REPORTED WITHIN THE PAST HOUR AT PALM BEACH INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.  WINDS AT OR ABOVE CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE WIND SPEEDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE AT THE UPPER FLOOR LEVELS OF HIGH RISE BUILDINGS IN THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS NEAR AND NORTH OF THE CENTER.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST UNTIL THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER OPEN WATER IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES... 113 KM... FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES... 282 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AS INDICATED BY SURFACE OBSERVATION IS  955 MB... 28.20 INCHES.

A STORM SURGE OF 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS STILL
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA.
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS... ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF WANDA.

THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST AND
EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA. 

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION... 26.4 N...  80.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD... NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...  110 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...  955 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT... FRIDAY.

PASCH

THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.
THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.

For graphical APRS plots of the Forecast see:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/ui_cap.png
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/snapshot.png

Sent by Wxsvr in support of the South Florida Section SET 2004