[FLARES] BULLETIN

Thu May 20 01:59:23 EDT 2004

Sent by Wxsvr in support of the South Florida Section SET 2004

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE WANDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   7A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT THU MAY 20 2004

THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.

.. DRILL! WANDA NOW A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE... ALL PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREAS...

.. HURRICANE WARNINGS EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG FLORIDA WEST COAST...

AT 2 AM EDT...0600 UTC... A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ON THE FLORIDA SOUTHWEST COAST NORTH OF BOCA GRANDE TO LONGBOAT KEY.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BOCA GRANDE.  THIS INCLUDES ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE DRY TORTUGAS.  

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM FLORIDA CITY TO JUPITER INLET ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH BUT WILL LIKELY BE UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING LATER TODAY FOR DETERIORATING CONDITIONS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA INCLUDING THE
PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO... HAVANA... AND CIUDAD HAVANA.

INTERESTS ON THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE
TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF WANDA.

DATA FROM DOPPLER RADAR IN KEY WEST AND AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT HURRICANE WANDA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AND IS NOW A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.

AT 2 AM EDT... 0600 UTC... THE EYE OF HURRICANE WANDA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE  82.1 WEST OR ABOUT 55
MILES... 88 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. 

WANDA HAS RESUMED A MORE NORTHWARD MOTION AND NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH... 14 KM/HR.  ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF WANDA WILL BE NEAR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS LATER THIS MORNING.  DO NOT FOCUS ON THE PRECISE LOCATION AND TRACK OF THE CENTER.  THE HURRICANES DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND RAIN COVER A WIDE SWATH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH... 169 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 56 KM... FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES... 185 KM.  AN AUTOMATED STATION AT SAND KEY RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 48 MPH AND A GUST TO 59 MPH.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 962 MB... 28.41 INCHES.
A STORM SURGE OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS NOW EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY.

HEAVY RAINS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE
POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH WANDA.

THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA
AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION... 23.8 N...  82.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD... NORTH 9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...  105 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE...  962 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 5 AM.

BEVEN

THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.

For graphical APRS plots of the Forecast see:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/ui_cap.png
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/snapshot.png

Sent by Wxsvr in support of the South Florida Section SET 2004