[FLARES] BULLETIN

[kg5qd at wxsvr.net]

Sent by Wxsvr in support of the South Florida Section SET 2004

ZCZC MIATCPMAT3 ALL
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BULLETIN
HURRICANE WANDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT WED MAY 19 2004

THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.

.. DRILL! WANDA MOVES OVER THE ISLE OF YOUTH... NOW MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST... 

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA INCLUDING THE
PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO... HAVANA... CIUDAD HAVANA... MATANZAS AND
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE LOWER AND MIDDLE FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF CRAIG KEY.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM
FLAMINGO TO BOCA GRANDE.

THE HURRICANE HAS MOVED A LITTLE MORE TO THE EAST THAN ANTICIPATED.
IF THIS TREND CONTINUES... THE THREAT TO THE UPPER KEYS AND SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA WILL INCREASE AND AN EASTWARD SHIFT OF THE WATCHES AND
WARNINGS WOULD BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. INTERESTS THROUGHOUT FLORIDA
SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF WANDA.   

RADARS FROM KEY WEST AND CUBA INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF WANDA
MOVED TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OVER THE ISLE OF YOUTH DURING THE PAST
FEW HOURS.   AT 2 PM EDT... 1800 UTC... THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE  82.4 WEST...  ABOUT 65
MILES... 105 KM... SOUTH OF HAVANA CUBA.  THIS IS ABOUT 170 MILES
.. 275 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
WANDA HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ABOUT 9 MPH... 15 KPH... DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.  HOWEVER... WANDA IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A
MORE NORTHERLY TRACK LATER TODAY.  ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF WANDA
WILL BE CROSSING WESTERN CUBA TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH... 120 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER
GUSTS IN A VERY SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  15 MILES... 30 KM... 
FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES... 185 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  995 MB... 29.38 INCHES.
 
COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA EAST OF
WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST.  
 
HEAVY RAINS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH WANDA.
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION... 22.2 N... 82.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARDS... NORTHEAST 9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 
5 PM EDT.
 
AVILA



THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.
THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.

For graphical APRS plots of the Forecast see:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/ui_cap.png
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/snapshot.png

Sent by Wxsvr in support of the South Florida Section SET 2004