[FLARES] HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 39A

[kg5qd@wxsvr.net]

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ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC 020500
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 39A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1 AM EDT FRI MAY 02 2003

..DRILL! WEATHER CONDITIONS WORSENING OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE
KEYS...PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE NEARING
COMPLETION...
..THIS IS A SIMULATED BULLETIN! THERE IS NO STORM THREATENING...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS AND FOR THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD.

AT 1 AM EDT...0500Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FROM NORTH
OF DEERFIELD BEACH NORTHWARD. 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST FROM JUST NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH...AT BOCA RATON...TO
STUART.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO BAYPORT.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF
SANCTI SPIRITUS EASTWARD AND FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS AND MATANZAS.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM LOUISIANA EASTWARD SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
 
AT 1 AM EDT...0500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILFRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
WILFRED IS MOVING BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
BRINGING THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS
MORNING.  DO NOT FOCUS ON THE PRECISE LOCATION AND TRACK OF
THE CENTER.  THE HURRICANES DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND RAIN COVER A WIDE
SWATH.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
CONDITIONS FAVOR A CONTINUED INCREASE IN STRENGTH DURING THE NEXT 12
TO 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.

RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH WILFRED ARE SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE KEYS.  SQUALLS WILL BE INCREASING IN FREQUENCY
AND INTENSITY TODAY.  

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  985 MB...29.09 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...LOCALLY 20 INCHES OR MORE OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF WILFRED.  THESE
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTH FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
REPEATING THE 1 AM EDT POSITION...23.4 N... 80.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB.
 
THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY
AT 5 AM EDT...FRIDAY.
 
AVILA
 
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The Forecast/Advisory for this Time is available at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/020500m.txt
Also a graphical aprs plot of the Forecast is at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/020500.png

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise