[FLARES] HURRICANE WILFRED ADVISORY NUMBER 38

[kg5qd@wxsvr.net]

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILFRED ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU MAY 01 2003
 
DRILL! A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FLORIDA... FROM
DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST AND FROM BONITA BEACH
SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS.  THIS
INCLUDES MONROE...MIAMI DADE...BROWARD AND COLLIER COUNTIES.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT JUST NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH...AT
BOCA RATON...TO STUART ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND FROM JUST NORTH
OF BONITA BEACH NORTHWARD TO LONGBOAT KEY ON THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.
THIS INCLUDES PALM BEACH...MARTIN...SARASOTA...CHARLOTTE AND LEE
COUNTIES.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF
SANCTI SPIRITUS EASTWARD AND FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS.  
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS AND MATANZAS.
 
HIGH RESOLUTION SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF WILFRED
IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.0 WEST IN THE
VICINITY OF CAYO COCO ON THE NORTH COAST OF CENTRAL CUBA OR 295
MILES...475 KM...SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

WILFRED IS MOVING BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
..19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY BRINGING
THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.  DO NOT FOCUS ON THE PRECISE LOCATION AND TRACK OF THE
CENTER.  THE HURRICANES DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND RAIN COVER A WIDE
SWATH.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP  TO 155 MILES...250 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  989 MB...29.21 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...LOCALLY 20 INCHES OR MORE OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF WILFRED.  THESE
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.  

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
8 PM EDT.
 
AVILA
 
 
NNNN



The Forecast/Advisory for this Time is available at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/012100m.txt
Also a graphical aprs plot of the Forecast is at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/012100.png

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise