[FLARES] HURRICANE WILFRED ADVISORY NUMBER 37

[kg5qd@wxsvr.net]

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC 011500
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILFRED ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU MAY 01 2003

..DRILL! WILFRED POUNDING A LARGE PORTION OF EASTERN CUBA...
..THIS IS A SIMULATED BULLETIN! THERE IS NO STORM THREATENING...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FLORIDA... FROM
DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST AND FROM BONITA BEACH
SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS.  THIS
INCLUDES MONROE...MIAMI DADE...BROWARD AND COLLIER COUNTIES.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT JUST NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH...AT
BOCA RATON...TO STUART ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND FROM JUST NORTH
OF BONITA BEACH NORTHWARD TO LONGBOAT KEY ON THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.
THIS INCLUDES PALM BEACH...MARTIN...SARASOTA...CHARLOTTE AND LEE
COUNTIES.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF
SANCTI SPIRITUS EASTWARD AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  THE HURRICANE
WARNING IS NOW EXTENDED TO THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS AND MATANZAS.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FOR
CAYMAN BRAC...AND LITTLE CAYMAN.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILFRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.5 WEST OR JUST TO THE EAST
NORTHEAST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA OR ABOUT 340 MILES...545 KM...SOUTHEAST
OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
WILFRED IS MOVING BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
..19 KM/HR.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE INTO THE FLORIDA
STRAITS LATER TODAY. DO NOT FOCUS ON THE PRECISE LOCATION AND TRACK
OF THE CENTER.  THE HURRICANES DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND RAINS COVER A
WIDE SWATH.
 
THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...
130 KM/HR...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS WILFRED
MOVES OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 155 MILES...250 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  989 MB...29.21 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...LOCALLY 20 INCHES OR MORE OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF WILFRED. THESE
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA.
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...21.5 N... 77.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC.
 
 
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The Forecast/Advisory for this Time is available at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/011500m.txt
Also a graphical aprs plot of the Forecast is at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/011500.png

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise