[FLARES] HURRICANE WILFRED ADVISORY NUMBER 34

[kg5qd@wxsvr.net]

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC 302100
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILFRED ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED APR 30 2003

..DRILL! WILFRED MOVING OVER EASTERN CUBA...
..THIS IS A SIMULATED BULLETIN! THERE IS NO STORM THREATENING... 
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN. 

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI...FOR CUBA FROM THE
PROVINCE OF SANCTI SPIRITUS EASTWARD...FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS AND FOR THE TURK AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND
FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS AND MATANZAS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...FROM
DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM BONITA BEACH
SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS.  THIS
INCLUDES MONROE...MIAMI DADE...BROWARD AND COLLIER COUNTIES.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF HURRICANE WILFRED
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.1 WEST...VERY
NEAR GUATANAMO BAY CUBA.
 
WILFRED HAS BEEN WOBBLING WESTWARD NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF EASTERN
CUBA BUT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS TRACK WILL BRING THE HURRICANE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA TONIGHT.  DO NOT FOCUS ON THE PRECISE
LOCATION AND TRACK OF THE CENTER.  THE HURRICANES DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
AND RAINS COVER A WIDE SWATH. 
 
GEORGE IS BARELY A HURRICANE AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 
75 MPH...120 KM/HR...IN A FEW SQUALLS WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS
WHILE THE CENTER OF WILFRED IS OVER CUBA.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY 20 INCHES OR MORE OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF WILFRED. THESE
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...19.8 N... 75.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB. 
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC.
 
 
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The Forecast/Advisory for this Time is available at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/302100m.txt
Also a graphical aprs plot of the Forecast is at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/302100.png

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise