[FLARES] HURRICANE WILFRED ADVISORY NUMBER 16

Sat, 26 Apr 2003 05:00:01 -0400 (EDT)

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC 260900
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILFRED ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT APR 26 2003

..DRILL! POWERFUL HURRICANE WILFRED CONTINUES WESTWARD...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES FROM ST.
LUCIA NORTHWARD TO ANGUILLA INCLUDING SABA AND ST. MAARTEN. A
HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA LATER
THIS MORNING.

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILFRED
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  51.3 WEST
OR ABOUT 650 MILES...1045 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

WILFRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE HURRICANE WILL AFFECT THE LESSER ANTILLES OVER THE
WEEKEND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  970 MB...28.64 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...14.4 N... 51.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST.

JARVINEN

STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC.

NNNN
NNNN

The Forecast/Advisory for this Time is available at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/260900m.txt
Also a graphical aprs plot of the Forecast is at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/260900.png

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise