[FLARES] HURRICANE WILFRED ADVISORY NUMBER 15

[kg5qd@wxsvr.net]

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC 260300
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILFRED ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI APR 25 2003
 
..DRILL! POWERFUL HURRICANE WILFRED AIMED AT THE CARIBBEAN...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES FROM ST.
LUCIA NORTHWARD TO ANGUILLA INCLUDING SABA AND ST. MAARTEN. A
HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA ON
SATURDAY MORNING.
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE WILFRED WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  50.0 WEST OR ABOUT 735 MILES...1185
KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.
 
WILFRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE HURRICANE WILL AFFECT THE LESSER ANTILLES OVER THE
WEEKEND.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 125 MILES...205 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  970 MB...28.64 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...14.0 N... 50.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
AST...SATURDAY.
 
RAPPAPORT
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC.

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The Forecast/Advisory for this Time is available at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/260300m.txt
Also a graphical aprs plot of the Forecast is at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/260300.png

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise