[FLARES] **ECOMM**

[Chris Myers]

Indian River County ACS is at Level One Alert as of 12:00 hours Friday, =
September 20, 2002.=20

Level One Alert:   Computer Models Indicate A Possible Threat To Our =
Operation Area.  Continue Monitoring Closely.

EVENT INFORMATION:=20
** RELEASE INFORMATION FROM IRCEOC**


TS Isidore became Hurricane Isidore yesterday when sustained winds =
reached 75mph.  This system has rapidly intensified and doubled =
sustained wind speeds over the last 24 hours.  The current sustained =
wind is 105mph.  The center of Isidore is now  moving over the western =
end of Cuba.  A temporary weakening period is expected over the next 24 =
hours as the system moves over Cuba and enters the Gulf of Mexico.  =
Beginning tomorrow afternoon, Isidore is expected to begin strengthening =
again and this system could easily become a Category 4 (winds 131mph to =
155mph) hurricane by Monday.  The current movement remains northwest and =
this slow track is expected to continue for the next 2 or 3 days.
=20
The attached water vapor satellite image shows the frontal system (dark =
area over northern Texas) continuing to move toward the northern Gulf.  =
This frontal boundary combined with a high pressure system near the east =
coast of Florida, will slow down or stall Isidore for the next 2 or 3 =
days.  The hurricane will remain over water in the south Gulf of Mexico. =
 For Indian River County, we will not have any weather from this =
hurricane over the weekend.  No watches or warnings are anticipated for =
Florida over the weekend.  The Tropical Storm Watch for the Keys has =
been discontinued.  The stalling systems will begin to move Monday and =
then we will have to see how strong Isidore has become and the direction =
it will take in the Gulf.  One interesting thing may happen with this =
hurricane.  If it does stall and remain in the same area past 48 hours, =
this may actually weaken the hurricane because of upwelling.  Upwelling =
occurs when cooler water below the surface is moved to the surface =
because of intense wave action and currents.  The cooler water will =
weaken any tropical system.  We will have to wait and see what happens.
=20
Everyone should keep updated on the location and intensity of this =
hurricane throughout the weekend.  I will be sending out statements =
throughout the weekend to keep everyone informed.  Again, there should =
not be any threat to the United States this weekend.
=20
Nathan McCollum
Indian River County Emergency Management
** END OF RELEASE**

ARES/RACES:  ARES/RACES Staff Notification Complete
CAPCOMM-4:  No report
County Communication Team:  No report
MARS:  No report
SHARES:  No report
SKYWARN: Treasure Coast Skywarn Network on stand-by mode. NC. KA1VRF =
reporting over IRLP node 458 from NC. =20
REACT:  FLCRT at level 1 alert

COMMUNICATION DATA:
No Communication Nets are planed at this time.
=20
Florida State DCAT Equipment and Assets:
Unit ID                Status                  Location                  =
        Note                                            =20
COMM-1   Standing-By   Vero Beach,FL           =20
COMM-2   Standing-BY   Vero Beach,FL                  =20
APRS       Standing-By    Vero Beach,FL         =20

End of SITREP

Christopher A. Myers chris@wgylfm.com=20
1 Lt. CAP. Emergency Services Officer, TCCS FL-078=20
Communication Specialist, Central Florida DMAT/MST FL-6=20
Commander, Florida State DCAT/REACT/ARES/ACS=20
Emergency Coordinator, Indian River County ARES/RACES


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