[FARC] 2013 MDC Section SET Hurricane Weather Report

[Jeff Fishman]

Here comes Chessie!

We will start the Frederick Weather Reporting Net at 1200 tomorrow on the FARG 146.730- (PL 141.3) repeater for simulated weather and damage reports in your neighborhood in support of this year's Simulated Emergency Test. Again, this is open to all hams, and we would like you to give us reports on wind gusts, rainfall totals, power outages, flooding, etc. Try to use emergency/battery power if possible, and we will be switching to 146.580 simplex later in the net as repeater antennas go down.

Have fun!

73,

Jeff KB3FIO
FRED ARES EC

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Hurricane Chessie Advisory Number 73

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ZCZC MIAWRKAPl  LOC TTMOO KUHC DOHHMN
BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHESSIE ADVISORY NUMBER 73
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
6 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013

. . .LARGE AND POWERFUL HURRICANE CHESSIE MENACING THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD. . .
AT 6 PM EDT. . .2200Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHESSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH. . .LONGITUDE 74.2 WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

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CHESSIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 28 MPH. . .AND A GENERALLY NORTHWARD MOTION WITH SOME FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY.  ON THIS TRACK. . .THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE OFF THE COAST OF THE VIRGINIA-NORTH CAROLINA BORDER TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH.  CHESSIE IS A POWERFUL CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE KAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE CENTER. . .AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES.
AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 935 MB. . .17.61 INCHES.

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STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES. . .ALONG WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES. . .ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE.  'THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO OVER SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA LATER TOMORROW.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION. . .33.4 N. . .74.2 W.  MOVEMENT TOWARD. . .NORTH NEAR 28 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS. . .125 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE. . .935 MB.

PREDICTED CHESSIE POSITIONS THROUGHOUT THE EVENING:  
9PM, 0100 SATURDAY, LATITUDE 36.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 75.5 WEST; 
12 MIDNIGHT, 0400 SATURDAY, LATITUDE 37.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 75.9 WEST JUST EAST OF RAMSHORN BAY, VA.

INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE ON THE HOUR.

ELMER SENDS

STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER  MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.

NNNN

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