[Elecraft] More than you ever wanted to know about solar cycles

Drew AF2Z pubx1 at af2z.net
Tue Jun 25 12:27:31 EDT 2019


I think it's fascinating. Anyhow, it's nice to hear a solar activity 
analysis that is based upon science. I half suspect that some of the 
sunspot predictions we've heard are made by ex stock market quants and 
commodities chartists; it wouldn't surprise me if they started referring 
to inverse head and shoulders, cup and handle patterns, sunspot 
breakouts, etc.

On the bright side (pun), if there is a long spell of inactivity in the 
solar magnetic field it will allow more cosmic rays to hit the earth's 
ionosphere which will help light it up a bit. Not sure if that is much 
of a silver lining for HF radio but it is something.

73,
Drew
AF2Z





On 06/24/19 21:55, kevinr wrote:
> I found this paper and thought some of you would be interested. Warning: 
> things look grim from 2019 to 2055 since we'll be in a grand solar 
> minimum.  Looks like the next three 11 year cycles will not be too 
> good.  Better prepare space for your 160 m antennas.
> 
> 
>   Oscillations of the baseline of solar magnetic field and solar
>   irradiance on a millennial timescale
> 
> https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-45584-3
> 
> It does get a bit dry but the math is minimal.
> 
>     GL,
> 
>        Kevin.  KD5ONS
> 
> -
> 
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