[Elecraft] K3: doing the math

[Leigh L Klotz, Jr.]

By the German Tank Theorem [http://tinyurl.com/2e94hb] using the data 
from the zerobeat serial number list, there are probably about 80 K3's, 
if you count the FT units as part of the sequence.

Oone of the assumptions of the GTT is violated: we know that there are 
out-of-sequence numbers, both in the +/- small integer range due to the 
front panel issue, and  because of a small number of vanity numbers, so 
it could be +/- 5 assuming they keep the front panels in order in 
batches of 5.

73,
Leigh/WA5ZNU

On Fri, 16 Nov 2007 11:54 am, DOUGLAS ZWIEBEL wrote:
> Okay...I'm here at work...since 1:30am today and I am out of
> steam...but I have another meeting in 30 minutes or so.  So I drifted
> into Elecraft land as a diversion.
>
> It seems that the highest SN who has gone public is #75 (but with lots
> of other unaccounted for).  And we know that production run 1 was
> supposed to include SN < 200 (or was it 220?).  And we know that the
> first 20 were supposed to be Beta units.  So that means 200-75-20 = at
> least 105 K3's to get out in the next two weeks (at least one day of
> which is a holiday here in the States)..or at least before the Nov 30
> date for production run #2 (or the week of...so add another day).
> That would be about 10 a day (M-F).  Sounds not unreasonable.
>
> That will represent quite a leap in production over the previous month.
>
> Here's hoping that it happens.
>
> de Doug KR2Q
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