[Dx-qsl] Dont ya just love the bands?? :-(

[Ron Lago]

Via http://www.solarham.net/index.htm


  IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be
moderate with a chance for X-class events for the next three days
(13 - 15 July).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels with isolated
high latitude major storm intervals from 11/0600 - 1200Z.  ACE solar
data indicated wind velocities decreased steadily through the period
from 500 km/s to near 400 km/s while the Bz component of the
interplanetary magnetic field did not vary much beyond +/- 5 nT.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit exceeded
the 10 pfu event threshold at 12/1835Z.  At the time of this report,
flux levels were at 35 pfu and rising.  The greater than 100 MeV
flux at geosynchronous orbit was enhanced, but below event threshold
levels of 1 pfu. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet to unsettled levels for day one (13
July).  Unsettled to active levels, with isolated minor storm
intervals, are expected on days two and three (14 - 15 July) as
effects from the 12 July CME are expected to become geoeffective.

III.  Event Probabilities 13 Jul-15 Jul
Class M    80/80/80
Class X    35/35/35
Proton     99/99/50
PCAF       red

Ron
AC7DX