[CoARES-D10] Significant WX outlook 5/18/2004

[Randy Long]

Folks, looks like this one is going south, but just in case, keep your eyes
open.

Randy, W0AVV


THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A COMBINATION OF FACTORS ARE EXPECTED TO COME TOGETHER LATER THIS
AFTERNOON TO PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONT RANGE
OF COLORADO. AMPLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE...STRONG SOLAR HEATING AND
INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM
FORMATION...INITIALLY OVER THE PALMER DIVIDE AREA OF DOUGLAS AND
WESTERN ELBERT COUNTIES BETWEEN 1 AND 3 PM. A SECOND AREA OF
THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO FORM AFTER 3 PM AS A DENVER CYCLONE
PRODUCES STRONG WIND SHEAR ALONG A LINE FROM NORTH CENTRAL ELBERT
COUNTY TO NORTHEAST BOULDER COUNTY. THIS WOULD INCLUDE NORTHERN AND
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE DENVER METRO AREA. ONE OR TWO OF THE STORMS
ALONG THIS NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST LINE MAY BECOME SEVERE AFTER 3 PM.
THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL.
HOWEVER FUNNEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLY A WEAK TORNADO OR TWO WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE.

THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONT RANGE WILL THEN MOVE EAST ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST PLAINS OF COLORADO THIS EVENING...WHERE CONDITIONS WILL BE
LESS FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORM FORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NECESSARY TODAY AFTER 3 PM.