[CoARES-D10] WX Outlook

Mike Hickerson w0mbh at hotmail.com
Tue Jun 29 10:40:08 EDT 2004


THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MORE NUMEROUS
TODAY AND WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP BY EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS...THEN SLOWLY SHIFT ACROSS THE URBAN
CORRIDOR LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  DUE TO THE VERY WEAK FLOW ALOFT AND
HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT OF THE ATMOSPHERE...THE STRONGER STORMS MAY
PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. THE FRONT RANGE
FOOTHILLS AND ADJACENT PLAINS WILL BE EXTREMELY SUSCEPTIBLE TO
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY WITH THE RECENT HEAVY RAINS ACROSS JEFFERSON
AND DOUGLAS COUNTIES. STORMS WILL BE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH THE WEAK
FLOW ALOFT. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING DUE
TO THE WEAK FLOW AND WARM AIRMASS.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LESS NUMEROUS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS
WITH ONLY ISOLATED ACTIVITY EXPECTED. THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE IN MOST LOCATIONS LATER THIS EVENING.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ANOTHER ROUND OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED
AGAIN WEDNESDAY.  A WEAK TROUGH WILL PASS TO THE NORTH OF THE
DISTRICT WHICH MAY HELP SPAWN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON THE NORTHEAST
PLAINS TOWARD EVENING.  A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH
THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  AFTER
WEDNESDAY...A GRADUAL DRYING TREND WILL COMMENCE WITH ONLY SLIGHT
CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AFTER 1 PM TO RELAY HEAVY RAINFALL
REPORTS IN ASSESSING THE FLOODING POTENTIAL OF STORMS.




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