[CoARES-D10] WX Outlook

Mike Hickerson w0mbh at hotmail.com
Thu Jul 15 11:53:25 EDT 2004


.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING A THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH
FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THE STORMS WILL FIRST DEVELOP
OVER THE MOUNTAINS BY LATE MORNING AND THEN SPREAD AND DEVELOP
EASTWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THE
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THIS EVENING AND
PRODUCE AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL.  AT THIS TIME...THE HIGHEST THREAT
OF FLASH FLOOD PRODUCING STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THE FOOTHILLS
EASTWARD ACROSS THE FRONT RANGE METRO AREAS WHERE A FLOOD WATCH HAS
BEEN POSTED.  BURN AREAS IN THE FOOTHILLS MAY BE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING.

STORMS THAT DEVELOP TODAY WILL BE SLOW MOVING.  THE STRONGEST STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IN AN HOUR.  A
COUPLE STORMS MAY BECOME BRIEFLY SEVERE...PRODUCING HAIL UP TO 1
INCH IN DIAMETER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH SOME
STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IN AND ALONG THE
FRONT RANGE. A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS...AND DEEP UPSLOPE
FLOW WILL BE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE RETURN TO WET AND UNSEASONABLY COOL
WEATHER...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.
THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE DUE TO
THE COOLER TEMPERATURES...HOWEVER STORMS MAY PRODUCE HAIL IN
ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL.

DRIER AND WARMER CONDITIONS SHOULD RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND...HOWEVER
LEFT OVER MOISTURE AND STRONG SOLAR HEATING MAY BE ENOUGH TO
GENERATE AT LEAST ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD EXIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.  HOWEVER...
ANY REPORTS OF RAINFALL GREATER THAN 1 INCH WOULD BE APPRECIATED.




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