[CALV-ARES] Hurricane Joaquin

[Eric Christensen]

Good morning weather fans,

Overnight, Tropical Storm Joaquin got her business together and became 
Hurricane Joaquin.  The storm is still meandering to the west and hurricane 
watches and warnings have been posted for the Bahamas.

The official forecast[0] has Joaquin off the Virginia/Maryland coastline early 
Monday morning.  Confidence in the forecast position and strength of Joaquin 
out 5 days remains very low.  The models[1], however, do seem to be getting 
more into agreement with a possible landfall happening somewhere between Cape 
Hatteras and Delaware.  THIS IS ALL SPECULATION AT THIS POINT.

My main concern with a hurricane coming into the area, now, is all the rain 
we're getting now.  Western Maryland and northern Virginia saw a lot of 
rainfall last night with flooding being reported.  Unfortunately, a lot of 
rainfall before a lot of wind can mean trees coming down taking out power 
lines with it.

I encourage everyone to keep an eye on the official publications from the 
National Weather Service and be prepared to take action.

[0] http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#JOAQUIN
[1] 
http://wx.hamweather.com/tropical/2015/atlantic/joaquin/modelsmap_zoom1.html

73,
Eric WG3K
Calvert ARES EC
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