From eric at christensenplace.us  Mon Mar  2 20:40:43 2015
From: eric at christensenplace.us (Eric H. Christensen)
Date: Mon, 2 Mar 2015 20:40:43 -0500
Subject: [CALV-ARES] FW: ALERT: X-ray Flux exceeded M5 (R2)
Message-ID: <20150303014043.GC9061@eric.home.christensenplace.us>

Expect HF blackout conditions.

--Eric W4OTN

----- Forwarded message from SWPC Product Subscription Service <SWPC.Products at noaa.gov> -----

Date: 3 Mar 2015 01:38:25 +0000
From: SWPC Product Subscription Service <SWPC.Products at noaa.gov>
To: eric at christensenplace.us
Subject: ALERT: X-ray Flux exceeded M5 (R2)

Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 249
Issue Time: 2015 Mar 03 0134 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2015 Mar 03 0132 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, please contact us: pss.help at noaa.gov.

----- End forwarded message -----

From donotreply at wordpress.com  Wed Mar  4 11:24:00 2015
From: donotreply at wordpress.com (Calvert County Auxiliary Communications Services)
Date: Wed, 4 Mar 2015 16:24:00 +0000
Subject: [CALV-ARES] [New post] Calvert ARES Report for February 2015
Message-ID: <78930991.199.0@wordpress.com>

Post       : Calvert ARES Report for February 2015
URL        : https://ares.k3cal.org/2015/03/04/calvert-ares-report-for-february-2015/
Posted     : March 4, 2015 at 11:22 am
Author     : Eric Christensen
Categories : Monthly EC Report

The month of February saw lots of snow and ice.? We went into a standby mode for the first ice and wind storm of the season but didn't see any power or communication outages that warranted an activation.

Our regular meeting (third Tuesday of the month) was canceled due to the possibility of ice on the roadways and an on-air net was used to take its place.? The training given during the net revolved around the wilderness protocol ( https://ares.k3cal.org/communications/wilderness-protocol/ )  and how it could be used during an communications failure event (or really any time).

We've started doing message handling training at the end of the club's weekly net (Monday nights at 19:30 on 146.985 repeater) which seems to get several active and passive participants.? Utilizing the trivia messages that routinely come through the Radiogram list, stations practice receiving the message and can send a response as well.? I already relayed one message from this week's trivia on the MEPN from one of our stations here in the county.

While not specifically ARES related, we have secured space on a tower in Prince Frederick for the 444.950 repeater (FM and System Fusion) and APRS digipeater which should help provide coverage to the south end of the county.? This will also provide geographic diversity for our current site.

March's training will include development of guidelines for responding to known threats (hurricanes, fire/EMS communication failures, etc) where we're familiar with what will likely be asked of us.? We also plan to participate in PG County's breakfast field operation on March 21st.

-- 


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From donotreply at wordpress.com  Wed Mar  4 11:51:01 2015
From: donotreply at wordpress.com (Calvert County Auxiliary Communications Services)
Date: Wed, 4 Mar 2015 16:51:01 +0000
Subject: [CALV-ARES] [New post] Winter Storm Warning
Message-ID: <78930991.202.0@wordpress.com>

Post       : Winter Storm Warning
URL        : https://ares.k3cal.org/2015/03/04/winter-storm-warning/
Posted     : March 4, 2015 at 11:49 am
Author     : Eric Christensen
Categories : ALERT, Weather

The battle between Winter and Spring continues with the potential for more ice and snow.? The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Warning ( http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=MDZ018&warncounty=MDC009&firewxzone=MDZ018&local_place1=Sunderland%20MD&product1=Winter+Storm+Warning&lat=38.6644&lon=-76.5858 )  for Calvert County beginning a midnight tonight going through 9PM Thursday night.

The northern portion of the county could see between 4 and 8 inches of snow while the southern portion of the county is expected to see between 3 and 5 inches.

Now is a good time to get? your gear ready and make sure you have a warm beverage in your hand.? Try to monitor the 146.985 repeater to the maximum extent you can during the event.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1012 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

DCZ001-MDZ013-014-016-018-VAZ038-039-050>055-502-042315-
/O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0009.150305T0500Z-150306T0200Z/
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-CALVERT-
GREENE-MADISON-ORANGE-CULPEPER-
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...ANNAPOLIS...WALDORF...
CULPEPER...MANASSAS...MANASSAS PARK...FAIRFAX...ALEXANDRIA...
FALLS CHURCH
1012 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 9 PM EST THURSDAY...

* PRECIPITATION TYPES...WINTRY MIX...THEN ALL SNOW...HEAVY AT
TIMES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...ALONG
WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE.

* TIMING...RAIN CHANGES TO WINTRY MIX AROUND MIDNIGHT THEN ALL
SNOW THURSDAY. SNOW HEAVIEST THURSDAY LATE MORNING INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S.

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED...VISIBILITIES WILL DROP
TO AROUND A QUARTER-MILE AT TIMES...MAKING TRAVEL DANGEROUS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

-- 


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From eric at christensenplace.us  Sat Mar  7 18:47:38 2015
From: eric at christensenplace.us (Eric H. Christensen)
Date: Sat, 7 Mar 2015 18:47:38 -0500
Subject: [CALV-ARES] ALERT: X-ray Flux exceeded M5 (R2)
Message-ID: <20150307234738.GC8357@eric.home.christensenplace.us>

-----BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE-----
Hash: SHA512

Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 250
Issue Time: 2015 Mar 07 2204 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2015 Mar 07 2203 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, please contact us: pss.help at noaa.gov.
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From eric at christensenplace.us  Wed Mar 11 12:26:38 2015
From: eric at christensenplace.us (Eric Christensen)
Date: Wed, 11 Mar 2015 12:26:38 -0400
Subject: [CALV-ARES] ALERT: X-ray Flux exceeded M5 (R2)
Message-ID: <beab846e6518c0d659c0f61a174aa6e8@www.christensenplace.us>

HF radio blackout coming.

-------- Original Message --------
Subject: ALERT: X-ray Flux exceeded M5 (R2)
Date:
 From: "SWPC Product Subscription Service" <SWPC.Products at noaa.gov>
To: eric at christensenplace.us

Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 253
Issue Time: 2015 Mar 11 1619 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2015 Mar 11 1617 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the 
sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio 
communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time 
information on affected area and expected duration please see 
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

-------------------------
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to the Product Subscription Site. [1] Please do not use 
the from address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For 
comments or help, please contact SWPC Help.

Links:
------
[1] https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov

From donotreply at wordpress.com  Wed Mar 11 23:19:53 2015
From: donotreply at wordpress.com (Calvert County Auxiliary Communications Services)
Date: Thu, 12 Mar 2015 03:19:53 +0000
Subject: [CALV-ARES] [New post] DRILL: Prince Georges County ARES Breakfast
	Deployment
Message-ID: <78930991.209.0@wordpress.com>

Post       : DRILL: Prince Georges County ARES Breakfast Deployment
URL        : https://ares.k3cal.org/2015/03/11/drill-prince-georges-county-ares-breakfast-deployment/
Posted     : March 11, 2015 at 11:18 pm
Author     : Eric Christensen
Categories : Drills

PG County ARES has announced their annual breakfast deployment drill ( https://ares.k3cal.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/2015-PRGE-ARES-Breakfast-Deployment-Drill-Plan1.pdf )  to be held on Saturday, March 21st.? Starting at 10:00AM, PG County ARES will be deploying to the field and will be operational on the 145.230MHz repeater (- offset, PL 110.9Hz) and 3820kHz.

Calvert County AUXCOMM will deploy after the CARA monthly breakfast to Don, KR3A's house.? Our mission is to erect two HF antennas and make contact with PG county on HF.? We'll also attempt communications with them on their repeater.

Additional information will be forthcoming.

?

-- 


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From donotreply at wordpress.com  Mon Mar 16 22:55:06 2015
From: donotreply at wordpress.com (Calvert County Auxiliary Communications Services)
Date: Tue, 17 Mar 2015 02:55:06 +0000
Subject: [CALV-ARES] [New post] March Meeting
Message-ID: <78930991.212.0@wordpress.com>

Post       : March Meeting
URL        : https://ares.k3cal.org/2015/03/16/march-meeting/
Posted     : March 16, 2015 at 10:53 pm
Author     : Eric Christensen
Categories : Meeting Minutes

The March AUXCOMM meeting will be held at the County Services Building ( http://osm.org/go/ZZbQ3dYBU--?m= )  in Prince Frederick on March 17th at 7:30PM.? The topic for this meeting is pre-planning for some typical scenarios.? Bring your thinking caps, paper, and writing instruments.

Talk-in on the 146.985MHz repeater (- offset, tone 156.7Hz).

-- 


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From eric at christensenplace.us  Wed Mar 18 15:52:18 2015
From: eric at christensenplace.us (Eric H. Christensen)
Date: Wed, 18 Mar 2015 15:52:18 -0400
Subject: [CALV-ARES] HFHN Tonight at 7:30 pm
Message-ID: <20150318195218.GA3396@eric.home.christensenplace.us>

ASM Wanda Montgomery, KA3AHI, who has been working diligently to connect
hospitals, health departments and Amateur Radio, holds the HF Hospital
Net (HFHN) on the Wednesday after the third Monday every month.
Sometimes that's the third Wednesday and, depending on the calendar it
may be the fourth Wednesday.

   In the event of a major disaster, HF communication may be one of the
methods that will be needed. Whether you are in an ARES? group or not,
it would be nice to know that there is a group of HF operators who are
able to participate in an HF net to pass requests from your local
hospital via HF to the health department or local Emergency Operations
Centers.

   Whether you are active in HF nets such as the Maryland Emergency
Phone Net (6 pm every day on 3.820, they would love to have more
check-ins) or you have to move some stuff out of the way to find your
rig, please give this net a try to see if you will be able to help out
from home in an emergency. It is a short net to test who is able to be
heard. It is scheduled for 7:30 pm tonight on 3.820 +/-.

73, Jim Cross WI3N
SM MDC

--------------------------------------------------------------------
ARRL Maryland-DC Section
Section Manager: James E Cross III, WI3N
wi3n at arrl.org
--------------------------------------------------------------------

From calv-ares at mailman.qth.net  Thu Mar 26 18:52:07 2015
From: calv-ares at mailman.qth.net (Calvert County Auxiliary Communications Services via CALV-ARES)
Date: Thu, 26 Mar 2015 22:52:07 +0000
Subject: [CALV-ARES] [New post] MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0153
Message-ID: <78930991.216.0@wordpress.com>

Post       : MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0153
URL        : https://ares.k3cal.org/2015/03/26/mesoscale-discussion-0153/
Posted     : March 26, 2015 at 6:50 pm
Author     : Eric Christensen
Tags       : Mesoscale Discussion
Categories : Weather

https://ares.k3cal.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/mcd0153.gif
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0153
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0512 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN VA...DC...CNTRL/NRN MD...THROUGH SERN PA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 262212Z - 270015Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...MARGINAL THREAT FOR ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL EXIST
FROM NRN VA...NRN MD INTO SERN PA THROUGH ABOUT 01Z. THREAT IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BECOME SUFFICIENT FOR A WW.

DISCUSSION...THIS EVENING A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM ERN PA SWWD
THROUGH THE CNTRL AND SRN APPALACHIANS. A WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM
CNTRL NJ WWD INTO ECNTRL PA WHERE IT INTERSECTS THE COLD FRONT. WARM
SECTOR IS ONLY MARGINALLY UNSTABLE WITH POOR MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
IN A NARROW CORRIDOR EAST OF THE COLD FRONT WHERE DIABATIC WARMING
OF THE SFC LAYER IS CONTRIBUTING TO 500 J/KG MLCAPE. THUNDERSTORMS
ARE IN THE PROCESS OF DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT FROM SERN PA INTO
NRN VA AS THIS BOUNDARY INTERCEPTS THE INSTABILITY AXIS. STRONG
VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL SUPPORT SOME POTENTIAL FOR UPDRAFT
ROTATION AND BOWING SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED STRONG
WIND GUSTS NEXT FEW HOURS. OVERALL THREAT WILL REMAIN LIMITED BY THE
MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT.

..DIAL/EDWARDS.. 03/26/2015

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From calv-ares at mailman.qth.net  Sat Mar 28 17:58:48 2015
From: calv-ares at mailman.qth.net (Calvert County Auxiliary Communications Services via CALV-ARES)
Date: Sat, 28 Mar 2015 21:58:48 +0000
Subject: [CALV-ARES] [New post] Scenario Planning
Message-ID: <78930991.219.0@wordpress.com>

Post       : Scenario Planning
URL        : https://ares.k3cal.org/2015/03/28/scenario-planning/
Posted     : March 28, 2015 at 5:57 pm
Author     : Eric Christensen
Categories : Meeting Minutes, Training

During the March AUXCOMM meeting Shawn, N3AE, presented scenario planning and provided a template for creating the scenarios:

* Scenario Title
* AuxComm Task and Objective
* Supported Agency
* Command Structure
* Communications Structure & Plan (nets, frequencies, backup?s)
* Anticipated Duration of Operation
* Deployed Location(s)
* Pre-positioned Equipment (if any)
* Required Equipment for Deployment (by location)
* Number of Operators Required and Skills
* Documentation During Operations
* Recommended Personal Gear
* Operator Relief and Changeover Plan
* Plan for Termination of Activities and Tear-Down
* Post-Event Hot Wash and Documentation

The meeting ended with a homework assignment for everyone to work on several scenarios and bring them to the next meeting.? The following scenarios need to be written up to be added to the EOP ( https://ares.k3cal.org/ares-emergency-operations-plan/ ) :

Severe Weather

* Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm
* Hurricane/Tropical Storm
* Flooding/Flash Flooding

* Shelter Operations
* Loss of County Gov't communication systems
* Loss of Telephone Service and 911
* HAZMAT Operations
* Nuclear Hazard
* Public Health Quarantine
* Backup Hospital Communications

Please take a stab at one or more of the scenarios and bring it to the April meeting.? There are no wrong answers so give it your best shot.

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From calv-ares at mailman.qth.net  Mon Mar 30 21:55:07 2015
From: calv-ares at mailman.qth.net (Calvert County Auxiliary Communications Services via CALV-ARES)
Date: Tue, 31 Mar 2015 01:55:07 +0000
Subject: [CALV-ARES] [New post] Fire Weather Watch
Message-ID: <78930991.221.0@wordpress.com>

Post       : Fire Weather Watch
URL        : https://ares.k3cal.org/2015/03/30/fire-weather-watch/
Posted     : March 30, 2015 at 9:53 pm
Author     : Eric Christensen
Categories : Weather

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
441 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

MDZ016>018-VAZ025>027-029-030-036>040-050>052-055>057-501-502-504-
507-508-310445-
/O.NEW.KLWX.FW.A.0001.150331T1500Z-150331T2200Z/
CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-PAGE-
WARREN-NELSON-ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-ORANGE-
CULPEPER-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-STAFFORD-
SPOTSYLVANIA-KING GEORGE-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-
EASTERN HIGHLAND-NORTHERN VA BLUE RIDGE-CENTRAL VA BLUE RIDGE-
441 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR HIGH WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND LOW FUEL
MOISTURE FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA AS WELL AS
SOUTHERN MARYLAND.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR HIGH WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND LOW FUEL
MOISTURE...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* HUMIDITY...20 TO 30 PERCENT. THE LOWEST VALUES ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS CENTRAL VIRGINIA TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 35 TO 45 MPH. THE
HIGHEST GUSTS WILL BE ALONG THE RIDGE TOPS OF THE BLUE RIDGE
MOUNTAINS AND POTOMAC HIGHLANDS.

* FUEL MOISTURE...5 TO 8 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND LOW
FUEL MOISTURE MAY ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR THE SPREAD OF
WILDFIRES LATE TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND
POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

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From calv-ares at mailman.qth.net  Tue Mar 31 11:45:24 2015
From: calv-ares at mailman.qth.net (Calvert County Auxiliary Communications Services via CALV-ARES)
Date: Tue, 31 Mar 2015 15:45:24 +0000
Subject: [CALV-ARES] =?utf-8?q?=5BNew_post=5D_DHS_OEC_Emergency_Communicat?=
	=?utf-8?q?ions_Forum_=E2=80=93_Volume_15?=
Message-ID: <78930991.224.0@wordpress.com>

Post       : DHS OEC Emergency Communications Forum &#8211; Volume 15
URL        : https://ares.k3cal.org/2015/03/31/dhs-oec-emergency-communications-forum-volume-15/
Posted     : March 31, 2015 at 11:43 am
Author     : Eric Christensen
Tags       : DHC OEC Forum, DHS
Categories : Training

DHS has just released their latest OEC Emergency Communications Forum ( https://ares.k3cal.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/DHS-OEC-ECF-Volume-15.pdf )  bulletin.? There are some good scenarios that show work arounds in public safety communications as well as some future looking technology coming out.

Take a read!

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