[Boatanchors] Micamold Recovery
Mike Hanz
aaf-radio-1 at aafradio.org
Wed Jun 4 17:05:56 EDT 2014
Exactly right, Robert. We see other examples of this "confirmation
bias", and even when someone offers to do some work in checking out a
hypothesis, the bias then prompts the opponents of either side to turn
to dire predictions of failure or vindication. The polarization
prevalent in many areas of life these days is exacerbated by the
phenomenon - especially in an election year....:-)
I'll be interested in AB5S' experimental results, simply because it
would be nice to get something other than rehashed 'internet opinions'
on the subject.
From Science Daily: Confirmation bias:
In psychology and cognitive science, confirmation bias (or confirmatory
bias) is a tendency to search for or interpret information in a way that
confirms one's preconceptions, leading to statistical errors.
Confirmation bias is a type of cognitive bias and represents an error of
inductive inference toward confirmation of the hypothesis under study.
Confirmation bias is a phenomenon wherein decision makers have been
shown to actively seek out and assign more weight to evidence that
confirms their hypothesis, and ignore or underweigh evidence that could
disconfirm their hypothesis.
As such, it can be thought of as a form of selection bias in collecting
evidence.
- Mike
On 6/4/2014 4:25 PM, WA5CAB--- via Boatanchors wrote:
> I agree with Bob. The "right" answer to this question (black beauties
> excepted) depends entirely upon which side of the fence the answerer is on. And
> all replies from the "wrong" side of the fence are correctly classified as
> SPAM.
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