[ARRL-OK] Fw: Saturday Severe Weather

[Lloyd A Colston]

I appreciate Steve giving this heads up for us.

I just got out of an OK-First refresher.  As part of the weather
briefing, the instructors noted how difficult this is to forecast,
especially IF there is weather tonight.

Storms Saturday are projected, as of now, to be between 1600 - 1900
firing time.  There are some similarities between the May, 1999 event and
this one.  The dry line has moved further east, which will move the
threat further east.  Of course, as Steve mentioned, the models are all
over the place right now.

Lord willing, we will be back in the County by early afternoon.  Please
join me in checking out your radios today, including your NOAA weather
radio, in preparation for what may be the most serious severe weather
event we will have to face this year.  Keep your eyes to the sky for any
storms that may fire during the early evening tonight.

For those of you who are NOT involved in severe weather spotting, there
is still time to get some training, though the formal classes have ended.
 Please contact your local emergency management office to indicate your
willingness to help.

Let me know how more I can help.


Lloyd Colston                     Mayes County Emergency Management
Pryor, OK  USA                  http://www.geocities.com/mccem
             Sero in periculis est consilium quaerere.


----- Forwarded Message -----
Good Afternoon:
You are receiving this e-mail because you are registered on the OKARK
SKYWARN website as a spotter, emergency management employee/volunteer or
net control operator for the National Weather Service in Tulsa.
 
The threat for severe weather is in the forecast for Saturday evening in
the Tulsa NWS County Watch Area (CWA).
Models are conflicting as of right now because much of the energy for
tomorrow will depend on how quickly the storms that will develop tonight
move out of the area.  If they stay in the area, daytime heating and
associated instability will be hindered.  If the storms push on east and
heating is allowed, watch out!
Net Control Operators for Saturday:  Merlin Griffin � Tom Shaw � Tim
Parker � Don McHugh plus 2 loggers.  More assistance may be needed
throughout the overnight hours if the system slows.
I mentioned storms tonight� The Forecast Meteorologist at the NWS Tulsa
has indicated that there is a good possibility for some �hailers� in the
area between 10:00 and midnight.  Threats tonight are LARGE hail and
damaging wind.  If you are out spotting, keep an ear to the radio and
WX5TUL � we�ll try our best to keep you out of it.
Net Control Operators for Friday evening:  Steve Miller � Bob Hall.  
 
I encourage you to consider spotting tonight and especially tomorrow, as
coverage will be needed across the CWA.  Included in the links I have
provided below, are frequencies for use in reporting severe weather to
the NWS in Tulsa (WX5TUL).   
 
I�m looking forward to hearing your reports over the next 36 hours. 
 
 
Thank you,
 
 
Steve Miller
KC5TRR
www.okarkskywarn.org
 
 
Forecast Tools and Other Helpful Information:
http://www.okarkskywarn.org/spotter_freq.asp - Look up and print spotter
frequencies in the CWA
http://www.wxcaster.com/experimental_products.htm - tornado index
http://weather.cod.edu/nexlab.frames.html - Lots �o models
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/ - Good ol� SPC forecasts�
http://www.hamwx.com/ - Best dang chaser site on the internet!
http://newsone-media.com/freqs.html - Frequencies
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tulsa/  - Best dang weather service office in the
country!
 

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